The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad de San Martín de Porres 56.4%
Universitario de Deportes 43.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49%
51%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.7%
53.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de San Martín de Porres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad de San Martín de Porres's performance.
Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universitario de Deportes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de San Martín de Porres than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad de San Martín de Porres that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universitario de Deportes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Universidad de San Martín de Porres - Universitario de Deportes Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Uni de San Martín will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0
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Preview
Series tied 1-1. Third leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de San Martín won 3.
Uni de San Martín is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Uni de Deportes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Uni de Deportes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Uni de Deportes has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Uni de San Martín won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 2.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni de San Martín won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2.7:1.5).