The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad de San Martín de Porres 84.1%
Atenea 15.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.7%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.5%
27.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de San Martín de Porres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad de San Martín de Porres's performance.
Atenea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atenea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de San Martín de Porres than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad de San Martín de Porres that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atenea than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atenea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Universidad de San Martín de Porres - Atenea Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0
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Preview
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Atenea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Uni de San Martín has had a series of home games.
In this match, Uni de San Martín is considered a favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de San Martín won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:2. (average 3:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni de San Martín won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).