The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
VaLePa Sastamala 25%
Benfica 75%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.2%
61.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.7%
64.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
VaLePa Sastamala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that VaLePa Sastamala's form might have worsened.
Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benfica's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for VaLePa Sastamala than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for VaLePa Sastamala, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benfica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.2%
0%
93.7%
VaLePa Sastamala - Benfica Predictions
Users Predictions:
Benfica will win
(15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%). Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3
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Preview
1st leg.
Recent matches VaLePa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Benfica is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Benfica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Benfica is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches VaLePa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.
Including matches at home between the teams VaLePa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
Watch
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