The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Železničar Lajkovac 36.4%
Ub 63.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
57.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
56.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Železničar Lajkovac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Železničar Lajkovac's form might have worsened.
Ub has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ub's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Železničar Lajkovac than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Železničar Lajkovac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ub than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ub, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
1st leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Železničar won 2.
Železničar is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Ub's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Ub may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Ub is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Železničar won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 43:32. (average 2.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Železničar won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:18. (average 2.3:1.5).