Match Info

WORLD: Olympic Games Women - Play Offs - Final

Date: 10 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Paris La Défense Arena (Nanterre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV 2
Greece	ERT 2
Hungary	Duna World / M4 Sport +
International	Max


	Australia W		Spain W

	1	X	2
	3.3	6.5	1.57
	3.7	7	1.47	Watch
	3.4	7	1.5
	3.51	6.1	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↓ (3.62)	6.65 ↓ (6.9)	1.53 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

Watch this match and Olympic Games - Water polo Women with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: NBC

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Australia W
26.3%

Draw
13.8%

Spain W
59.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.3%

13.2%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

14.2%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Australia W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Spain W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Australia W than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spain W than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spain W could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	6.7%	86.7%

Australia W - Spain W Predictions

Users Predictions: Spain W will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

#ad

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Australia won 0.

One and the other team during the last matches got a chain of wins.

In this match Spain is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Australia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 105-128.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Australia W water polo
Olympic Games - Water polo Women
08.08.24	Australia W - USA W	14:13 penalties ✺
06.08.24	Australia W - Greece W	9:6 ✺
04.08.24	Hungary W - Australia W	12:14 penalties ✺
02.08.24	Australia W - Canada W	10:7 ✺
31.07.24	Netherlands W - Australia W	14:15 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 WWWWW
- Spain W water polo
Olympic Games - Water polo Women
08.08.24	Netherlands W - Spain W	18:19 penalties ✺
06.08.24	Canada W - Spain W	8:18 ✺
04.08.24	Italy W - Spain W	11:13 ✺
31.07.24	Spain W - Greece W	10:8 ✺
29.07.24	USA W - Spain W	11:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Water Polo Women
26.07.23	Australia W - Spain W	10:12
World Cup Water Polo Women
19.04.23	Spain W - Australia W	9:8
World League Water Polo Women
04.11.22	Spain W - Australia W	12:5
World Championship Water Polo Women
02.07.22	Spain W - Australia W	8:5
Olympic Games - Water polo Women
30.07.21	Spain W - Australia W	15:9
World Cup Water Polo Women
09.09.18	Spain W - Australia W	8:9
06.09.18	Australia W - Spain W	8:8

Australia W - Spain W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide