Match Info

A1 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 16 June 2026, Tuesday


	Brescia		Savona

	1	X	2
	1.34	8.71	4.50
	1.42	7	4
	1.37	8.60	4.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.35)	8.1 ↓ (8.61)	4.17 ↓ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 27.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
66.7%

Draw
11.3%

Savona
22%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68%

10.7%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Savona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brescia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Savona than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Savona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Brescia - Savona Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 16:12

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Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brescia won 4.

Brescia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Savona is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Brescia is the team to beat.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Brescia won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 212:119. (average 11.2:6.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Brescia won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 120:55. (average 12:5.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	Brescia	2	2	0	0	28:20	6
9	Savona	1	1	0	0	18:13	3

Outrights of Italian A1 Water Polo for now

Brescia: 5.26% Savona: 1.66%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associazione Nuotatori Brescia
Italian A1 Water Polo
04.06.26	De Akker Bologna - Brescia	10:24 ✺
30.05.26	Brescia - De Akker Bologna	29:17
27.05.26	Brescia - Pro Recco	9:17 ✺
Champions League Water Polo
20.05.26	Novi Beograd - Brescia	17:18 ✺
Italian A1 Water Polo
15.05.26	Trieste - Brescia	12:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWW
- RN Savona
Italian A1 Water Polo
03.06.26	Quinto - Savona	10:18 ✺
30.05.26	Savona - Quinto	18:8 ✺
27.05.26	Savona - Quinto	16:13 ✺
16.05.26	Telimar Palermo - Savona	9:22 ✺
06.05.26	Savona - Posillipo	16:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian A1 Water Polo
13.03.26	Brescia - Savona	15:11
02.11.25	Savona - Brescia	14:15
05.04.25	Savona - Brescia	5:6
15.01.25	Brescia - Savona	8:7
08.05.24	Brescia - Savona	4:6
01.05.24	Savona - Brescia	6:5
24.02.24	Brescia - Savona	6:6

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