Match Info

A1 - Round 25

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday


	Trieste		Brescia

	1	X	2
	9.13	12.6	1.12
	9	11	1.1
	6.8	11.2	1.15
	9	13	1.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.48 ↓ (9)	11.95 ↓ (13)	1.12 ↑ (1.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 27.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trieste
10.8%

Draw
7.6%

Brescia
81.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

10.1%

82.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trieste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Trieste - Brescia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 11:17

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Preview

Brescia is Qualified for A1 (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trieste won 1.

Trieste is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Brescia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Brescia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Brescia is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Trieste won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 175:258. (average 8.8:12.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Trieste won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 69:83. (average 9.9:11.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Trieste	2	2	0	0	41:32	6
3	Brescia	2	2	0	0	28:20	6

Outrights of Italian A1 Water Polo for now

Brescia: 5.26% Trieste: 2.7%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trieste Pallanuoto
Italian A1 Water Polo
09.05.26	Olympic Roma - Trieste	10:14 ✺
29.04.26	Trieste - Roma Vis Nova	21:19 penalties ✺
18.04.26	Ortigia - Trieste	11:12 ✺
15.04.26	Trieste - Savona	17:19 ✺
28.03.26	Florentia - Trieste	16:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLW
- Associazione Nuotatori Brescia
Champions League Water Polo
13.05.26	Brescia - Olympiacos	16:17 penalties ✺
Italian A1 Water Polo
29.04.26	Brescia - De Akker Bologna	21:13 ✺
Champions League Water Polo
22.04.26	Atlètic-Barceloneta - Brescia	17:6 ✺
Italian A1 Water Polo
18.04.26	Olympic Roma - Brescia	4:17
Champions League Water Polo
31.03.26	Brescia - Novi Beograd	12:11 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian A1 Water Polo
09.12.25	Brescia - Trieste	17:10
01.05.25	Brescia - Trieste	13:6
28.04.25	Trieste - Brescia	10:5
25.04.25	Brescia - Trieste	9:8
22.02.25	Brescia - Trieste	10:8
17.11.24	Trieste - Brescia	11:15
22.03.24	Trieste - Brescia	10:12

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