Match Info

A1 - Round 20

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	De Akker Bologna		Posillipo

	1	X	2
	1.89	6.42	2.53
	1.87	6.2	2.45
	1.89	6.2	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 (1.88)	6.27 ↓ (6.34)	2.48 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 26.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

De Akker Bologna
48.6%

Draw
14.6%

Posillipo
36.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.9%

14.5%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

16.2%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

De Akker Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Posillipo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Akker Bologna than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Posillipo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

De Akker Bologna - Posillipo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 14:14

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Akker won 1.

De Akker is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Posillipo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

De Akker may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

De Akker is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, De Akker won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 88:92. (average 11:11.5).

Including home matches between the teams, De Akker won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 48:46. (average 12:11.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
5	Posillipo	2	1	0	1	26:27	3
6	De Akker	2	1	0	1	26:27	3

Outrights of Italian A1 Water Polo for now

Posillipo: 3.22% De Akker: 0.64%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- De Akker Bologna
Conference Cup Water Polo
22.03.26	Mornar BS - De Akker Bologna	20:13 ✺
21.03.26	Apollon Smyrni - De Akker Bologna	11:14 ✺
20.03.26	De Akker Bologna - Mataró	14:13 ✺
Italian A1 Water Polo
14.03.26	Roma Vis Nova - De Akker Bologna	12:15 ✺
07.03.26	De Akker Bologna - Napoli	15:11 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LWWWW
- CN Posillipo
Conference Cup Water Polo
22.03.26	Echeyde - Posillipo	13:17 ✺
21.03.26	Posillipo - Panionios	12:13 ✺
20.03.26	Posillipo - Honvéd	12:15 ✺
Italian A1 Water Polo
13.03.26	Napoli - Posillipo	10:11 ✺
06.03.26	Posillipo - Pro Recco	6:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian A1 Water Polo
05.11.25	Posillipo - De Akker Bologna	13:12
16.05.25	Posillipo - De Akker Bologna	12:11
06.05.25	De Akker Bologna - Posillipo	15:16
08.03.25	De Akker Bologna - Posillipo	13:12
30.11.24	Posillipo - De Akker Bologna	13:9
08.11.23	De Akker Bologna - Posillipo	9:10
11.02.23	Posillipo - De Akker Bologna	8:8

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