Match Info

A1 - Round 19

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday


	Napoli		Posillipo

	1	X	2
	4.4	7.87	1.38
	4.2	7	1.37
	4.34	7.1	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↓ (4.41)	7.32 ↓ (7.49)	1.38 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli
21.2%

Draw
12.5%

Posillipo
66.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.8%

12.3%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

12.9%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Posillipo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Posillipo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Napoli - Posillipo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 11:14

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 1.

Napoli has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Posillipo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Posillipo has had a series of home games.

In this match, Posillipo is considered a favorite.

We predict that Posillipo will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 72:77. (average 8:8.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:36. (average 8.3:9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
5	Posillipo	2	1	0	1	26:27	3
8	Napoli	1	1	0	0	20:14	3

Outrights of Italian A1 Water Polo for now

Posillipo: 3.22% Napoli: 0.64%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CC Napoli
Italian A1 Water Polo
07.03.26	De Akker Bologna - Napoli	15:11 ✺
28.02.26	Pro Recco - Napoli	23:3
21.02.26	Napoli - Trieste	6:13 ✺
14.02.26	Rari Nantes Salerno - Napoli	14:15 ✺
31.01.26	Napoli - Brescia	4:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLWL
- CN Posillipo
Italian A1 Water Polo
06.03.26	Posillipo - Pro Recco	6:20 ✺
28.02.26	Trieste - Posillipo	15:9 ✺
25.02.26	Posillipo - Rari Nantes Salerno	17:12 ✺
Conference Cup Water Polo
22.02.26	Posillipo - Mataró	12:10 ✺
21.02.26	Posillipo - Crvena Zvezda	12:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian A1 Water Polo
31.10.25	Posillipo - Napoli	12:9
02.11.19	Napoli - Posillipo	6:10
16.02.19	Napoli - Posillipo	12:12
10.11.18	Posillipo - Napoli	8:7
24.02.18	Napoli - Posillipo	10:8
28.10.17	Posillipo - Napoli	6:6
18.05.17	Posillipo - Napoli	8:9

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