Match Info

Championship - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday


	Dinamo Astrakhan		Spartak Volgograd

	1	X	2
	3.14	7.1	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (4.27)	7.1 ↓ (7.6)	1.57 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dinamo Astrakhan
29.1%

Draw
12.8%

Spartak Volgograd
58.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.5%

12.1%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

12.6%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Astrakhan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dinamo Astrakhan's performance.

Spartak Volgograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak Volgograd might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Astrakhan than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dinamo Astrakhan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Volgograd than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Volgograd could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dinamo Astrakhan - Spartak Volgograd Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 9:12

#ad

Preview

Spartak Volgograd leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Astrakhan won 2.

Dinamo Astrakhan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Spartak Volgograd is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Spartak Volgograd is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Astrakhan won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 190:211. (average 9.5:10.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo Astrakhan won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 108:102. (average 12:11.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Astrakhan	2	1	0	0	1	26:18	3
4	Spartak Volgograd	2	1	0	0	1	23:27	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Astrakhan Water Polo
Russian Championship Water Polo
10.05.26	Dinamo Astrakhan - Spartak Volgograd	8:13 ✺
03.05.26	Spartak Volgograd - Dinamo Astrakhan	9:12 ✺
02.05.26	Spartak Volgograd - Dinamo Astrakhan	10:7 ✺
24.04.26	Dinamo Astrakhan - Vostok 2	15:8 ✺
18.04.26	Vostok 2 - Dinamo Astrakhan	9:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLWW
- Spartak Volgograd
Russian Championship Water Polo
10.05.26	Dinamo Astrakhan - Spartak Volgograd	8:13 ✺
03.05.26	Spartak Volgograd - Dinamo Astrakhan	9:12 ✺
02.05.26	Spartak Volgograd - Dinamo Astrakhan	10:7 ✺
24.04.26	Spartak Volgograd - Shturm-2002	23:11
16.04.26	Shturm-2002 - Spartak Volgograd	10:18
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Championship Water Polo
10.05.26	Dinamo Astrakhan - Spartak Volgograd	8:13
03.05.26	Spartak Volgograd - Dinamo Astrakhan	9:12
02.05.26	Spartak Volgograd - Dinamo Astrakhan	10:7
23.10.25	Dinamo Astrakhan - Spartak Volgograd	12:8
19.04.25	Spartak Volgograd - Dinamo Astrakhan	5:3
18.04.25	Spartak Volgograd - Dinamo Astrakhan	7:6
12.04.25	Dinamo Astrakhan - Spartak Volgograd	13:12 OT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Astrakhan Water Polo
Russian Championship Water Polo
16.10.26	Dinamo Astrakhan - Sintez Kazan	✺

Dinamo Astrakhan - Spartak Volgograd: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide