Match Info

WORLD: Olympic Games

Date: 1 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Aquatics Centre (Paris - Saint-Denis)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	France 3
International	Max


	France		Australia

	1	X	2
	1.9	6.5	2.45
	1.95	5.7	2.5	Watch
	1.91	6.5	2.45
	1.97	5.75	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.92)	6.11 ↓ (6.14)	2.47 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 19.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

Watch this match and Olympic Games - Water polo with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: NBCU Paris Olympics Extra 1

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Current Win Probability

France
47.6%

Draw
15.1%

Australia
37.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.9%

15%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

12.8%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

France has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Australia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for France than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with France that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Australia than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Australia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

France - Australia Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. France will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 11:11

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Preview

France is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Australia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches France won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 48-48.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- France water polo
Olympic Games - Water polo
30.07.24	Japan - France	13:14 ✺
28.07.24	France - Hungary	12:13 ✺
Friendly International Water Polo
13.07.24	Italy - France	10:7 ✺
12.07.24	France - Japan	12:13 ✺
11.07.24	Hungary - France	9:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLLT
- Australia water polo
Olympic Games - Water polo
30.07.24	Australia - Serbia	8:3 ✺
28.07.24	Australia - Spain	5:9 ✺
Friendly International Water Polo
07.07.24	Australia - Serbia	9:15 ✺
05.07.24	Australia - Germany	11:6 ✺
04.07.24	France - Australia	7:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Water Polo
04.07.24	France - Australia	7:10
World Championship Water Polo
11.02.24	Australia - France	8:11
Friendly International Water Polo
21.12.23	France - Australia	9:11
World Championship Water Polo
23.07.23	Australia - France	8:11
19.07.17	France - Australia	10:11

France - Australia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide