Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Division 2 - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday


	France		Germany

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France
63.6%

Draw
11.9%

Germany
24.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.3%

12.3%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

12%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

France has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Germany has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for France than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germany than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 15:12

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Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, France is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, France won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 55:56. (average 11:11.2).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- France water polo
World Cup Water Polo
12.04.26	France - Montenegro	11:15 ✺
11.04.26	Neutral Athletes B - France	13:14 ✺
10.04.26	France - Portugal	23:9
09.04.26	France - Poland	29:9
08.04.26	France - Canada	15:11 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWWW
- Germany water polo
World Cup Water Polo
12.04.26	Georgia - Germany	8:9 ✺
11.04.26	Australia - Germany	11:6 ✺
10.04.26	Germany - China	14:8 ✺
09.04.26	Germany - Hong Kong	34:5
07.04.26	Germany - Slovenia	22:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWW

World League Water Polo
15.03.22	Germany - France	11:16
Olympic Games - Water polo
15.02.21	Germany - France	12:13
European Championship Water Polo
24.07.18	Germany - France	12:5
26.07.14	France - Germany	13:14
21.07.14	France - Germany	8:7

France - Germany: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide