Match Info

World Cup - 5th-8th places - Semi-finals

Date: 24 July 2026, Friday


	Georgia		Montenegro

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Georgia
13.4%

Draw
9.1%

Montenegro
77.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.1%

10.4%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Georgia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Georgia's form might have worsened.

Montenegro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montenegro's recent form is better than expected.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 12:18

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In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Georgia won 0.

In this match, Montenegro is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Georgia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 79:117. (average 9.9:14.6).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Georgia water polo
World Cup Water Polo
23.07.26	Italy - Georgia	18:12 ✺
Friendly International Water Polo
04.07.26	Georgia - Netherlands	14:15 ✺
World Cup Water Polo
13.04.26	Montenegro - Georgia	19:17 ✺
12.04.26	Georgia - Germany	8:9 ✺
11.04.26	Ukraine - Georgia	9:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLW
- Montenegro water polo
World Cup Water Polo
23.07.26	Greece - Montenegro	14:13 ✺
13.04.26	Montenegro - Georgia	19:17 ✺
12.04.26	France - Montenegro	11:15 ✺
11.04.26	Montenegro - Romania	14:8 ✺
10.04.26	Montenegro - Malta	12:21
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWWL

World Cup Water Polo
13.04.26	Montenegro - Georgia	19:17
08.03.23	Montenegro - Georgia	13:12
European Championship Water Polo
10.09.22	Montenegro - Georgia	14:11
29.08.22	Georgia - Montenegro	11:14
World Championship Water Polo
23.06.22	Georgia - Montenegro	9:10
World League Water Polo
27.06.21	Georgia - Montenegro	8:19
Olympic Games - Water polo
18.02.21	Montenegro - Georgia	11:9

Georgia - Montenegro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide