Match Info

Asian Games - 5th-8th places - 5th place

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Hong Kong		South Korea

	1	X	2
	4.28	9.10	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 (4.28)	9.1 (9.1)	1.33 (1.33)

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Hong Kong
21.3%

Draw
10%

South Korea
68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

10.6%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Hong Kong have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for South Korea have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hong Kong than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Korea than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 13:17

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The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

In this matchup, South Korea is considered the favorite to take the win.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hong Kong water polo
Asian Games Water Polo
02.10.26	Singapore - Hong Kong	11:15 ✺
29.09.26	Iran - Hong Kong	21:12
28.09.26	Japan - Hong Kong	30:6
27.09.26	Kazakhstan - Hong Kong	29:15
26.09.26	Thailand - Hong Kong	15:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLLLW
- South Korea water polo
Asian Games Water Polo
02.10.26	South Korea - Thailand	22:11
29.09.26	Kazakhstan - South Korea	18:14 ✺
28.09.26	Iran - South Korea	15:11 ✺
27.09.26	South Korea - Singapore	16:18 penalties ✺
26.09.26	South Korea - China	15:14
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLLW

Hong Kong - South Korea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide