Match Info

World Championship - 5th-8th places - Semi-finals

Date: 22 July 2025, Tuesday


	Italy		Montenegro

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Italy
69.6%

Draw
11%

Montenegro
19.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.2%

12.6%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Montenegro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 14:11

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In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 4.

Montenegro has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Italy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Italy is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Italy won 14 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 206:179. (average 10.3:9).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy water polo
World Championship Water Polo
20.07.25	Italy - Greece	11:17 ✺
16.07.25	Italy - South Africa	28:4
14.07.25	Italy - Serbia	17:16 penalties ✺
12.07.25	Romania - Italy	5:17 ✺
Olympic Games - Water polo
10.08.24	Australia - Italy	6:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWWW
- Montenegro water polo
World Championship Water Polo
20.07.25	Spain - Montenegro	14:5 ✺
18.07.25	Canada - Montenegro	10:22 ✺
16.07.25	China - Montenegro	8:13 ✺
14.07.25	Croatia - Montenegro	13:11 ✺
12.07.25	Montenegro - Greece	10:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWLW

Olympic Games - Water polo
01.08.24	Italy - Montenegro	11:9 penalties
European Championship Water Polo
12.01.24	Italy - Montenegro	14:8
Friendly International Water Polo
21.12.23	Montenegro - Italy	8:9 penalties
World Championship Water Polo
27.07.23	Montenegro - Italy	6:10
European Championship Water Polo
02.09.22	Italy - Montenegro	13:8
World League Water Polo
29.04.22	Montenegro - Italy	7:8
Olympic Games - Water polo
07.08.21	Montenegro - Italy	17:18 penalties

Italy - Montenegro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide