Match Info

World Cup Women - 5th-8th places - 5th place

Date: 24 July 2026, Friday


	Italy W		Netherlands W

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Italy W
19.9%

Draw
11.4%

Netherlands W
68.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.9%

76.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Netherlands W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Netherlands W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 10:13

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In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 1.

In this match, Netherlands is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Italy won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 172:212. (average 8.6:10.6).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy W water polo
World Cup Water Polo Women
23.07.26	China W - Italy W	10:11 ✺
22.07.26	Italy W - Australia W	14:15 ✺
06.05.26	Italy W - USA W	3:13 ✺
05.05.26	Netherlands W - Italy W	12:2 ✺
04.05.26	Spain W - Italy W	14:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL
- Netherlands W water polo
World Cup Water Polo Women
23.07.26	Netherlands W - Hungary W	16:15 penalties ✺
22.07.26	Netherlands W - Russia W	6:11 ✺
Friendly International Water Polo Women
02.07.26	Hungary W - Netherlands W	11:12 ✺
World Cup Water Polo Women
06.05.26	Spain W - Netherlands W	7:8 ✺
05.05.26	Netherlands W - Italy W	12:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWWW

World Cup Water Polo Women
05.05.26	Netherlands W - Italy W	12:2
03.05.26	Italy W - Netherlands W	12:10
European Championship Water Polo Women
03.02.26	Netherlands W - Italy W	8:4
World Championship Water Polo Women
21.07.25	Italy W - Netherlands W	13:16
World Cup Water Polo Women
15.01.25	Italy W - Netherlands W	8:11
Olympic Games - Water polo Women
06.08.24	Netherlands W - Italy W	11:8
World Championship Water Polo Women
14.02.24	Netherlands W - Italy W	10:5

Italy W - Netherlands W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide