Match Info

World Cup Women - Qualification - Division 1 - Winners stage

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	Spain W		Netherlands W

	1	X	2
	2.22	6.38	2.11
	2.12	5.9	2.12	Watch
	2.27	7.1	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.34)	6.46 ↓ (7.15)	2.11 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Spain W
41.9%

Draw
14.3%

Netherlands W
43.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.4%

13.2%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

12.6%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spain W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Netherlands W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spain W than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Netherlands W than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Spain W - Netherlands W Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Spain will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 12:12

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spain won 4.

Spain is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Netherlands has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Spain won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 219:209. (average 11:10.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spain W water polo
World Cup Water Polo Women
05.05.26	Spain W - USA W	5:7 ✺
04.05.26	Spain W - Italy W	14:12 ✺
03.05.26	Hungary W - Spain W	9:15 ✺
02.05.26	Spain W - USA W	16:15 penalties ✺
01.05.26	Japan W - Spain W	10:26
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWWW
- Netherlands W water polo
World Cup Water Polo Women
05.05.26	Netherlands W - Italy W	12:2 ✺
04.05.26	Netherlands W - USA W	10:12 ✺
03.05.26	Italy W - Netherlands W	12:10 ✺
02.05.26	Greece W - Netherlands W	8:12 ✺
01.05.26	Netherlands W - Australia W	14:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

European Championship Water Polo Women
01.02.26	Netherlands W - Spain W	13:16 penalties
World Championship Water Polo Women
19.07.25	Spain W - Netherlands W	15:13 penalties
World Cup Water Polo Women
20.04.25	Netherlands W - Spain W	10:8
18.01.25	Spain W - Netherlands W	16:8
Olympic Games - Water polo Women
08.08.24	Netherlands W - Spain W	18:19 penalties
European Championship Water Polo Women
13.01.24	Spain W - Netherlands W	7:8
World Championship Water Polo Women
28.07.23	Netherlands W - Spain W	17:16 penalties

Spain W - Netherlands W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide