Match Info

European Championship

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday


	Netherlands		France

	1	X	2
	1.89	6.58	2.5
	1.8	6.4	2.45	Watch
	1.89	6.15	2.48
	1.9	7	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.72)	6.53 ↑ (6.53)	2.44 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 25.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Netherlands
48.7%

Draw
13.9%

France
37.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.9%

14%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

15.7%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Netherlands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

France has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Netherlands than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for France than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Netherlands - France Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Netherlands will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. France (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 14:12

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Netherlands won 2.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Netherlands will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Netherlands won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 72:81. (average 9:10.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Netherlands water polo
European Championship Water Polo
18.01.26	Montenegro - Netherlands	15:11 ✺
16.01.26	Hungary - Netherlands	16:11 ✺
14.01.26	Netherlands - Spain	7:14 ✺
12.01.26	Netherlands - Israel	19:11 ✺
10.01.26	Netherlands - Serbia	16:18 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL
- France water polo
European Championship Water Polo
18.01.26	France - Spain	8:14 ✺
16.01.26	France - Serbia	10:14 ✺
14.01.26	France - Montenegro	12:13 ✺
12.01.26	Malta - France	13:22 ✺
10.01.26	France - Hungary	7:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

European Championship Water Polo
13.01.24	France - Netherlands	16:9
Olympic Games - Water polo
21.02.21	Netherlands - France	10:9
17.02.21	Netherlands - France	11:11
European Championship Water Polo
20.01.20	Netherlands - France	8:9
World League Water Polo
14.02.17	France - Netherlands	6:7
15.11.16	Netherlands - France	11:10
Olympic Games - Water polo
08.04.16	France - Netherlands	9:8 penalties

Netherlands - France: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide