Match Info

World Cup Women - Qualification - Division 1 - Winners stage

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday


	Netherlands W		USA W

	1	X	2
	2.64	6.8	1.8
	3.45	6.20	1.52	Watch
	2.64	7.2	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.1)	6.73 ↓ (7.32)	1.72 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Netherlands W
32%

Draw
13.8%

USA W
54.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.2%

12.8%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Netherlands W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

USA W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Netherlands W - USA W Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. USA will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 10:12

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Netherlands won 2.

USA is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Netherlands won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 112:137. (average 7.5:9.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Netherlands W water polo
World Cup Water Polo Women
03.05.26	Italy W - Netherlands W	12:10 ✺
02.05.26	Greece W - Netherlands W	8:12 ✺
01.05.26	Netherlands W - Australia W	14:8 ✺
European Championship Water Polo Women
05.02.26	Hungary W - Netherlands W	13:15 penalties ✺
03.02.26	Netherlands W - Italy W	8:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWW
- USA W water polo
World Cup Water Polo Women
03.05.26	USA W - Japan W	28:8
02.05.26	Spain W - USA W	16:15 penalties ✺
01.05.26	USA W - Hungary W	12:8 ✺
Friendly International Water Polo Women
17.01.26	Hungary W - USA W	8:13 ✺
World Championship Water Polo Women
23.07.25	USA W - Spain W	12:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Water Polo Women
13.07.25	Netherlands W - USA W	9:11
Olympic Games - Water polo Women
10.08.24	USA W - Netherlands W	10:11
World Championship Water Polo Women
04.02.24	USA W - Netherlands W	10:8
World Cup Water Polo Women
25.06.23	Netherlands W - USA W	11:12
21.04.23	USA W - Netherlands W	8:9
World League Water Polo Women
06.11.22	USA W - Netherlands W	11:11
02.11.22	Netherlands W - USA W	6:9

Netherlands W - USA W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide