Match Info

A1 - Play Out - Semi-finals

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday


	Nuoto Catania		Telimar Palermo

	1	X	2
	3.7	7.6	1.43
	2.75	7.5	1.63
	3.71	6.65	1.48
	3.7	7.6	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (2.89)	7.34 ↑ (6.9)	1.49 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuoto Catania
26.4%

Draw
12.4%

Telimar Palermo
61.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.5%

13.2%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

13.5%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuoto Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nuoto Catania's form might have worsened.

Telimar Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Telimar Palermo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuoto Catania than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nuoto Catania, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telimar Palermo than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Telimar Palermo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nuoto Catania - Telimar Palermo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 11:13

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Preview

Telimar leads series 1-0. 2nd leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nuoto Catania won 1.

Nuoto Catania is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Palermo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nuoto Catania could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Palermo is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Nuoto Catania won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 72:92 (average 10.3:13.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Nuoto Catania won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 33:35 (average 11:11.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Nuoto Catania
Italian A1 Water Polo
25.04.25	Telimar Palermo - Nuoto Catania	15:10 ✺
05.04.25	Nuoto Catania - Florentia	12:12 ✺
29.03.25	Ortigia - Nuoto Catania	17:12 ✺
26.03.25	Nuoto Catania - Telimar Palermo	13:11 ✺
22.03.25	Quinto - Nuoto Catania	14:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTLWL
- Telimar Palermo
Italian A1 Water Polo
25.04.25	Telimar Palermo - Nuoto Catania	15:10 ✺
19.04.25	Telimar Palermo - Roma Vis Nova	11:8 ✺
05.04.25	Posillipo - Telimar Palermo	10:10 ✺
29.03.25	Telimar Palermo - Trieste	10:12 ✺
26.03.25	Nuoto Catania - Telimar Palermo	13:11 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian A1 Water Polo
25.04.25	Telimar Palermo - Nuoto Catania	15:10
26.03.25	Nuoto Catania - Telimar Palermo	13:11
14.12.24	Telimar Palermo - Nuoto Catania	14:12
11.11.23	Telimar Palermo - Nuoto Catania	14:12
25.03.23	Telimar Palermo - Nuoto Catania	14:5
07.12.22	Nuoto Catania - Telimar Palermo	11:14
29.01.22	Nuoto Catania - Telimar Palermo	9:10

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Telimar Palermo
Italian A1 Water Polo
17.10.26	Telimar Palermo - Brescia	✺

Nuoto Catania - Telimar Palermo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide