Match Info

GREECE: A1 - ROUND 6

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	PAOK		Ethnikos

	1	X	2
	1.3	12	3.8
	1.39	6.75	4.2
	1.3	12	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.36)	10.25 ↓ (12)	3.93 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAOK
68.1%

Draw
8.8%

Ethnikos
23%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.6%

7.5%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Ethnikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PAOK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethnikos than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ethnikos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

PAOK - Ethnikos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 13:10

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches PAOK won 4.

Recent matches PAOK is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ethnikos is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

PAOK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match PAOK is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches PAOK won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 121-125.

Including matches at home between the teams PAOK won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 67-74.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK Water Polo
Greek A1 Water Polo
21.10.23	PAOK - Ydraikos	15:13 ✺
14.10.23	Panionios - PAOK	13:9 ✺
04.10.23	PAOK - Vouliagmeni	11:16 ✺
30.09.23	OFTH - PAOK	5:16
23.09.23	PAOK - Palaio Faliro	15:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.3 WLLWW
- Ethnikos Piraeus Water Polo
Greek A1 Water Polo
22.10.23	Ethnikos - Panionios	7:14 ✺
14.10.23	Vouliagmeni - Ethnikos	13:7 ✺
04.10.23	Ethnikos - OFTH	17:6 ✺
30.09.23	Palaio Faliro - Ethnikos	10:10 ✺
23.09.23	Ethnikos - AEK Athens	8:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Greek A1 Water Polo
29.04.23	PAOK - Ethnikos	17:12
26.04.23	Ethnikos - PAOK	16:14 penalties
22.04.23	PAOK - Ethnikos	10:9
25.02.23	Ethnikos - PAOK	8:9
28.01.23	PAOK - Ethnikos	13:7
18.05.22	Ethnikos - PAOK	5:6
16.05.22	PAOK - Ethnikos	10:13

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK Water Polo
Greek A1 Water Polo
17.10.26	PAOK - Palaio Faliro	✺
- Ethnikos Piraeus Water Polo
Greek A1 Water Polo
17.10.26	Glyfada - Ethnikos	✺

PAOK - Ethnikos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide