Match Info

A1 - 5th-8th places - Semi-finals

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday


	PAOK		Ydraikos

	1	X	2
	1.53	9.14	3.15
	1.76	7.2	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (2.32)	8.17 ↑ (8.04)	2.86 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 24.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAOK
56.3%

Draw
11.3%

Ydraikos
32.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.8%

11.5%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

13%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PAOK's performance.

Ydraikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ydraikos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PAOK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ydraikos than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ydraikos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

PAOK - Ydraikos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 13:11

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Preview

Series tied 1-1. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 4.

PAOK has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ydraikos's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Ydraikos will win today's game, with odds of 1.9.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 215:204. (average 10.8:10.2).

Including home matches between the teams, PAOK won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 104:78. (average 13:9.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
7	Ydraikos	3	2	0	1	31:29	6
10	PAOK	3	0	1	2	26:50	1

Outrights of Greek A1 Water Polo for now

Ydraikos: 0.65% PAOK: 0.65%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK Water Polo
Greek A1 Water Polo
20.05.26	Ydraikos - PAOK	15:8 ✺
13.05.26	PAOK - Ydraikos	14:13 ✺
06.05.26	PAOK - Vouliagmeni	18:19 ✺
27.04.26	Vouliagmeni - PAOK	18:11 ✺
18.04.26	Panionios - PAOK	18:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL
- Ydraikos Water Polo
Greek A1 Water Polo
20.05.26	Ydraikos - PAOK	15:8 ✺
13.05.26	PAOK - Ydraikos	14:13 ✺
29.04.26	Palaio Faliro - Ydraikos	7:17 ✺
25.04.26	Ydraikos - Glyfada	10:5 ✺
18.04.26	Chios - Ydraikos	10:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Greek A1 Water Polo
20.05.26	Ydraikos - PAOK	15:8
13.05.26	PAOK - Ydraikos	14:13
30.11.25	Ydraikos - PAOK	9:15
12.10.25	PAOK - Ydraikos	17:6
10.05.25	Ydraikos - PAOK	15:16 penalties
07.05.25	PAOK - Ydraikos	16:11
05.04.25	PAOK - Ydraikos	17:9

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