Match Info

A1 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	Panionios		Apollon Smyrni

	1	X	2
	3.79	8.8	1.42
	3.5	8.3	1.45
	4	8.4	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↓ (4)	8.5 ↑ (8.4)	1.41 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 27.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panionios
24.4%

Draw
10.8%

Apollon Smyrni
64.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.7%

10.8%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

11.4%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panionios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Apollon Smyrni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panionios than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apollon Smyrni than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Panionios - Apollon Smyrni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 13:16

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Preview

Apollon Smirnis leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panionios won 0.

Panionios is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Apollon Smyrni is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Apollon Smyrni is a strong favorite.

We predict that Apollon Smyrni will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panionios won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 210:255. (average 10.5:12.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Panionios won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 89:89. (average 11.1:11.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Apollon Smirnis	3	3	0	0	64:36	9
3	Panionios	3	3	0	0	48:28	9

Outrights of Greek A1 Water Polo for now

Apollon Smirnis: 0.77%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panionios Water Polo Club
Conference Cup Water Polo
03.05.26	Apollon Smyrni - Panionios	15:13 ✺
02.05.26	De Akker Bologna - Panionios	13:12 ✺
Greek A1 Water Polo
25.04.26	Apollon Smyrni - Panionios	20:13 ✺
18.04.26	Panionios - PAOK	18:16 ✺
15.04.26	Panionios - Olympiacos	7:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL
- Apollon Smyrni Water Polo
Conference Cup Water Polo
03.05.26	Apollon Smyrni - Panionios	15:13 ✺
02.05.26	Honvéd - Apollon Smyrni	16:12 ✺
Greek A1 Water Polo
25.04.26	Apollon Smyrni - Panionios	20:13 ✺
18.04.26	Palaio Faliro - Apollon Smyrni	5:23
01.04.26	Apollon Smyrni - Panathinaikos	17:16 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Conference Cup Water Polo
03.05.26	Apollon Smyrni - Panionios	15:13
Greek A1 Water Polo
25.04.26	Apollon Smyrni - Panionios	20:13
18.03.26	Apollon Smyrni - Panionios	13:5
02.05.25	Apollon Smyrni - Panionios	18:12
29.04.25	Panionios - Apollon Smyrni	14:15
22.03.25	Apollon Smyrni - Panionios	16:11
01.03.25	Panionios - Apollon Smyrni	8:9

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