Match Info

A1 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Apollon Smyrni		Panathinaikos

	1	X	2
	2.52	7.88	1.79
	2.26	7.3	1.9
	2.15	7.5	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.13)	7.56 ↑ (6.8)	1.91 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 26.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Apollon Smyrni
39.8%

Draw
12.2%

Panathinaikos
48%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.2%

13.5%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

13.8%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Apollon Smyrni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apollon Smyrni than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-4%)

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Preview

Panathinaikos WPC leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Apollon Smyrni won 2.

In recent matches, Apollon Smyrni has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Panathinaikos is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Apollon Smyrni may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Apollon Smyrni won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 183:170. (average 13.1:12.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Apollon Smyrni won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 82:68. (average 13.7:11.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Apollon Smirnis	3	3	0	0	64:36	9
5	Panathinaikos	3	2	0	1	59:32	6

Outrights of Greek A1 Water Polo for now

Apollon Smirnis: 0.77%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Apollon Smyrni Water Polo
Greek A1 Water Polo
10.05.26	Panathinaikos - Apollon Smyrni	18:15 ✺
06.05.26	Panionios - Apollon Smyrni	12:13 ✺
Conference Cup Water Polo
03.05.26	Apollon Smyrni - Panionios	15:13 ✺
02.05.26	Honvéd - Apollon Smyrni	16:12 ✺
Greek A1 Water Polo
25.04.26	Apollon Smyrni - Panionios	20:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLW
- Panathinaikos Water Polo
Greek A1 Water Polo
10.05.26	Panathinaikos - Apollon Smyrni	18:15 ✺
18.04.26	Panathinaikos - Olympiacos	14:8 ✺
01.04.26	Apollon Smyrni - Panathinaikos	17:16 penalties ✺
Euro Cup Water Polo
28.03.26	Jadran Split - Panathinaikos	19:19 ✺
Greek A1 Water Polo
24.03.26	Peristeri - Panathinaikos	5:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Greek A1 Water Polo
10.05.26	Panathinaikos - Apollon Smyrni	18:15
01.04.26	Apollon Smyrni - Panathinaikos	17:16 penalties
11.03.26	Panathinaikos - Apollon Smyrni	15:10
24.05.25	Panathinaikos - Apollon Smyrni	17:16 penalties
21.05.25	Apollon Smyrni - Panathinaikos	10:6
17.05.25	Panathinaikos - Apollon Smyrni	14:13
30.03.25	Panathinaikos - Apollon Smyrni	13:12

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panathinaikos Water Polo
Greek A1 Water Polo
17.10.26	Peristeri - Panathinaikos

Apollon Smyrni - Panathinaikos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide