Match Info

A1 - Round 19

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Trieste		Quinto

	1	X	2
	1.36	7.65	4.71
	1.4	7	4
	1.34	7.5	4.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.35)	7.38 ↓ (7.59)	4.45 ↓ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 24.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trieste
67%

Draw
12.4%

Quinto
20.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.4%

12.1%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

12.8%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trieste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Quinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trieste than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Quinto aligns with the current prediction.

Trieste - Quinto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 14:11

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trieste won 5.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Trieste is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Trieste won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 108:95. (average 9:7.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Trieste won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 56:40. (average 11.2:8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Trieste	2	2	0	0	41:32	6
13	SC Quinto	1	0	0	1	14:16	0

Outrights of Italian A1 Water Polo for now

Trieste: 2.7% SC Quinto: 0.64%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trieste Pallanuoto
Italian A1 Water Polo
07.03.26	Telimar Palermo - Trieste	21:20 penalties ✺
28.02.26	Trieste - Posillipo	15:9 ✺
21.02.26	Napoli - Trieste	6:13 ✺
15.02.26	Trieste - Pro Recco	11:22 ✺
Euro Cup Water Polo
12.02.26	Dinamo București - Trieste	15:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWLW
- SC Quinto
Italian A1 Water Polo
07.03.26	Quinto - Rari Nantes Salerno	16:10 ✺
28.02.26	Brescia - Quinto	17:7 ✺
21.02.26	Quinto - Olympic Roma	12:8 ✺
14.02.26	Roma Vis Nova - Quinto	15:10 ✺
31.01.26	Quinto - Ortigia	13:11 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian A1 Water Polo
04.11.25	Quinto - Trieste	9:10
26.03.25	Trieste - Quinto	10:8
14.12.24	Quinto - Trieste	7:10
11.10.23	Trieste - Quinto	15:8
08.04.23	Trieste - Quinto	13:11
14.01.23	Quinto - Trieste	8:4
02.10.21	Quinto - Trieste	7:8

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