Match Info

WORLD: Olympic Games Women - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 10 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Paris La Défense Arena (Nanterre)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	France 3
Greece	ERT 2
Hungary	M4 Sport
International	Max


	USA W		Netherlands W

	1	X	2
	1.8	6.5	2.7
	1.61	6.7	3.35	Watch
	1.8	6	2.62
	1.54	6.35	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.46)	6.39 ↓ (7.2)	3.08 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 18.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USA W
55.2%

Draw
14.6%

Netherlands W
30.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.2%

12.8%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

11.8%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USA W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that USA W's form might have worsened.

Netherlands W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Netherlands W's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USA W than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for USA W, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Netherlands W than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Netherlands W, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

USA W - Netherlands W Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. USA will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Netherlands will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for USA: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 10:10

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches USA won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Netherlands could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

USA will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches USA won 11 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 116-92.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA W water polo
Olympic Games - Water polo Women
08.08.24	Australia W - USA W	14:13 penalties ✺
06.08.24	Hungary W - USA W	4:5 ✺
02.08.24	USA W - France W	17:5 ✺
31.07.24	Italy W - USA W	3:10 ✺
29.07.24	USA W - Spain W	11:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWWL
- Netherlands W water polo
Olympic Games - Water polo Women
08.08.24	Netherlands W - Spain W	18:19 penalties ✺
06.08.24	Netherlands W - Italy W	11:8 ✺
04.08.24	Canada W - Netherlands W	11:20 ✺
31.07.24	Netherlands W - Australia W	14:15 penalties ✺
29.07.24	China W - Netherlands W	11:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Water Polo Women
04.02.24	USA W - Netherlands W	10:8
World Cup Water Polo Women
25.06.23	Netherlands W - USA W	11:12
21.04.23	USA W - Netherlands W	8:9
World League Water Polo Women
06.11.22	USA W - Netherlands W	11:11
02.11.22	Netherlands W - USA W	6:9
World Championship Water Polo Women
22.06.22	USA W - Netherlands W	11:7
16.07.19	USA W - Netherlands W	12:9

USA W - Netherlands W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide