Match Info

A1 - 5th-8th places - Semi-finals

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday


	Ydraikos		PAOK

	1	X	2
	1.65	8.08	2.85
	1.69	7.4	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.88)	7.74 ↑ (7.28)	2.78 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 25.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ydraikos
55.1%

Draw
11.9%

PAOK
33.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49%

12.6%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

14.1%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ydraikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ydraikos's performance.

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PAOK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ydraikos than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ydraikos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PAOK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ydraikos - PAOK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 14:14

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Preview

PAOK leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ydraikos won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Ydraikos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ydraikos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ydraikos won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 194:214. (average 9.7:10.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ydraikos won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 116:110. (average 9.7:9.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
7	Ydraikos	3	2	0	1	31:29	6
10	PAOK	3	0	1	2	26:50	1

Outrights of Greek A1 Water Polo for now

Ydraikos: 0.65% PAOK: 0.65%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ydraikos Water Polo
Greek A1 Water Polo
13.05.26	PAOK - Ydraikos	14:13 ✺
29.04.26	Palaio Faliro - Ydraikos	7:17 ✺
25.04.26	Ydraikos - Glyfada	10:5 ✺
18.04.26	Chios - Ydraikos	10:8 ✺
28.03.26	Ydraikos - Ethnikos	17:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWLW
- PAOK Water Polo
Greek A1 Water Polo
13.05.26	PAOK - Ydraikos	14:13 ✺
06.05.26	PAOK - Vouliagmeni	18:19 ✺
27.04.26	Vouliagmeni - PAOK	18:11 ✺
18.04.26	Panionios - PAOK	18:16 ✺
28.03.26	PAOK - Palaio Faliro	19:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek A1 Water Polo
13.05.26	PAOK - Ydraikos	14:13
30.11.25	Ydraikos - PAOK	9:15
12.10.25	PAOK - Ydraikos	17:6
10.05.25	Ydraikos - PAOK	15:16 penalties
07.05.25	PAOK - Ydraikos	16:11
05.04.25	PAOK - Ydraikos	17:9
12.03.25	Ydraikos - PAOK	12:10

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