Match Info

COUNTER-STRIKE: Stake Pulse Beat III - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Astralis		mibr

	1	2
	2.05	1.68
	1.95	1.83
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.68)	1.73 ↓ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astralis
45.9%

mibr
54.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astralis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Astralis's form might have worsened.

mibr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting mibr's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astralis than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Astralis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for mibr than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for mibr, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Astralis won 5.

Astralis has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Performances by mibr have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Astralis has recorded 16 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:5 (averaging 1.4:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Astralis against this opponent, the record stands at 12 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 18:5 goals (averaging 1.3:0.4 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Astralis - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.66%, but this team recently wins 26% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Astralis CS
eSports
14.10.26	HOTU - Astralis	1:2 ✺
14.10.26	Astralis - Sashi	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Luminosity Gaming - Astralis	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Astralis - Fnatic	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Astralis - BIG	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW
- mibr CS
eSports
15.10.26	mibr - BC.Game	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	FURIA Esports - mibr	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	mibr - NRG Esports	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	magic - mibr	1:2 ✺
17.09.26	FURIA Esports - mibr	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

eSports
12.08.26	mibr - Astralis	0:1
04.04.26	Astralis - mibr	2:0
27.10.25	Astralis - mibr	2:0
17.07.25	mibr - Astralis	0:2
15.07.25	Astralis - mibr	2:0
17.02.25	Astralis - mibr	2:1
29.01.25	Astralis - mibr	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Astralis CS
eSports
28.10.26	magic - Astralis	✺
- mibr CS
eSports
28.10.26	Inner Circle - mibr	✺

Astralis - mibr