Match Info

COUNTER-STRIKE: Stake Ranked Episode 5 - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	magic		Astralis

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magic
45%

Astralis
55%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

magic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Astralis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for magic than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astralis than the current prediction. (-2%)

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Recent results have been tough for magic (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Astralis have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

magic may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Astralis in today's match, at odds of 1.66.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Astralis - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.39%, but this team recently wins 26% of matches with these odds.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- magic CS
eSports
27.10.26	magic - BIG	1:2 ✺
21.10.26	magic - The MongolZ	0:2 ✺
20.10.26	Team Liquid - magic	0:2 ✺
19.10.26	PARIVISION - magic	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	magic - mibr	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL
- Astralis CS
eSports
27.10.26	Astralis - Fnatic	0:2 ✺
16.10.26	Astralis - mibr	1:2 ✺
14.10.26	HOTU - Astralis	1:2 ✺
14.10.26	Astralis - Sashi	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Luminosity Gaming - Astralis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWWW

magic - Astralis