Match Info

COUNTER-STRIKE: Stake Ranked Episode 4 - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Astralis		Fnatic

	1	2
	1.47	2.60
	1.51	2.63	Watch
	1.50	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.52)	2.54 ↑ (2.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astralis
63%

Fnatic
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astralis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Fnatic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astralis than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fnatic than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

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Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Fnatic could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Astralis has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

Recently, Fnatic has had a run of games away from home.

Astralis is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Astralis has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:3 (averaging 1.7:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Astralis against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Last Results with these Odds

Astralis - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 61.64%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Astralis CS
eSports
03.10.26	Astralis - BIG	2:1 ✺
02.10.26	Astralis - FaZe Clan	2:1 ✺
01.10.26	Astralis - Alliance	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Astralis - 100 Thieves	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Astralis - Apogee	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLLW
- Fnatic CS
eSports
03.10.26	Fnatic - Alliance	2:0 ✺
02.10.26	B8 - Fnatic	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	BIG - Fnatic	2:1 ✺
25.09.26	Heroic - Fnatic	2:1 ✺
23.09.26	Fnatic - Phantom	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

eSports
13.01.26	Fnatic - Astralis	1:2
10.09.24	Fnatic - Astralis	2:1

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