Match Info

COUNTER-STRIKE: Stake Ranked Episode 5 - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Astralis		Fnatic

	1	2
	1.68	2.05
	1.73	2.08
	1.99	1.83	Watch
	1.68	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.52)	2 ↓ (2.42)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Astralis
53.1%

Fnatic
46.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astralis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Astralis's form might have worsened.

Fnatic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fnatic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astralis than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Astralis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fnatic than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fnatic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Astralis - Fnatic Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Fnatic will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

#ad

Preview

Astralis is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Fnatic is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Fnatic may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Astralis is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Astralis in today's match, at odds of 1.58.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Astralis has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:3 (averaging 1.7:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Astralis against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Last Results with these Odds

Astralis - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 61.37%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Astralis CS
eSports
16.10.26	Astralis - mibr	1:2 ✺
14.10.26	HOTU - Astralis	1:2 ✺
14.10.26	Astralis - Sashi	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Luminosity Gaming - Astralis	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Astralis - Fnatic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWW
- Fnatic CS
eSports
21.10.26	PRIVATE - Fnatic	2:0 ✺
20.10.26	Fnatic - PARIVISION	1:2 ✺
19.10.26	Team Liquid - Fnatic	0:2 ✺
16.10.26	Fnatic - Heroic	0:2 ✺
14.10.26	HOTU - Fnatic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

eSports
03.10.26	Astralis - Fnatic	2:0
13.01.26	Fnatic - Astralis	1:2
10.09.24	Fnatic - Astralis	2:1

Astralis - Fnatic