Match Info

COUNTER-STRIKE: Stake Ranked Episode 4 - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Fnatic		Alliance

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Fnatic
55.5%

Alliance
44.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fnatic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Alliance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fnatic than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alliance than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

#ad

Recent results have been tough for Fnatic (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Alliance has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Alliance could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Fnatic has faced a series of away games on the road.

Fnatic is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Alliance in today's match, at odds of 2.19.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fnatic CS
eSports
02.10.26	B8 - Fnatic	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	BIG - Fnatic	2:1 ✺
25.09.26	Heroic - Fnatic	2:1 ✺
23.09.26	Fnatic - Phantom	1:2 ✺
05.08.26	Team Liquid - Fnatic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLL
- Alliance CS
eSports
02.10.26	Alliance - Nemiga Gaming	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	Astralis - Alliance	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	mibr - Alliance	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Alliance - magic	2:0 ✺
09.09.26	Alliance - TyLoo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWLWW

Fnatic - Alliance