Match Info

COUNTER-STRIKE: PGL Astana - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	MOUZ		magic

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.29	3.57
	1.29	3.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.32)	3.77 ↑ (3.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MOUZ
74.7%

magic
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MOUZ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

magic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MOUZ than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with MOUZ that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for magic than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that magic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

MOUZ has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

magic is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, MOUZ has had a series of home games.

Recently, magic has had a series of away games.

In this match, MOUZ is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

MOUZ - the odds 1.32 are the expected chance of winning is 72.1%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MOUZ CS
eSports
16.05.26	MOUZ - Team Spirit	0:2 ✺
15.05.26	MOUZ - Aurora	2:0 ✺
12.05.26	MOUZ - Aurora	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	MOUZ - 9z Team	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	MOUZ - G2 Esports	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWLW
- magic CS
eSports
16.05.26	magic - Falcons	0:2 ✺
15.05.26	9z Team - magic	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Gentle Mates - magic	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Heroic - magic	1:2 ✺
11.05.26	K27 - magic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWWWW

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