Match Info

DOTA 2: PRO CIRCUIT SEASON 3 (SOUTHEAST ASIAN)

Date: 17 May 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Twitch


	Team SMG		Bleed Esports

	1	2
	2.29	1.64
	2.05	1.7
	2.23	1.6
	2.14	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.79)	1.64 ↓ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Team SMG
42.9%

Bleed Esports
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Team SMG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Team SMG's form might have worsened.

Bleed Esports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bleed Esports's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Team SMG than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Team SMG, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bleed Esports than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bleed Esports, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Team SMG - Bleed Esports Predictions

Users Predictions: Bleed Esports will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

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Preview

SMG has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Bleed is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently SMG have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Bleed to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Last 3 head-to-head matches SMG won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams SMG won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Team SMG Dota 2
eSports
15.05.23	Talon Esports - Team SMG	2:0 ✺
30.04.23	Tundra eSports - Team SMG	2:0
29.04.23	Team SMG - Team Spirit	1:1
28.04.23	Talon Esports - Team SMG	2:0
28.04.23	Shopify Rebellion - Team SMG	2:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLL
- Bleed Esports Dota 2
eSports
15.05.23	Bleed Esports - Execration	2:1 ✺
31.03.23	Bleed Esports - Talon Esports	0:2 ✺
29.03.23	Bleed Esports - Team SMG	2:0 ✺
27.03.23	Polaris - Bleed Esports	2:1 ✺
22.03.23	Blacklist International - Bleed Esports	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

eSports
29.03.23	Bleed Esports - Team SMG	2:0
30.01.23	Bleed Esports - Team SMG	1:2
13.01.23	Team SMG - Bleed Esports	1:2

Team SMG - Bleed Esports: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide