The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HIFK 74.7%
Draw 14.5%
Vaasan Sport 10.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
71.7%
16.5%
11.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.8%
17.2%
12.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HIFK that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
HIFK - Vaasan Sport Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
12:24, Aarnio A. (2 min),
13:34, 1 - 0, Lehtera J. (G), Kodytek P. (A), Ashbrook T. (A2)
13:34, (2 min),
17:47, Heikkinen I. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
13:04, Ortio J. (2 min),
14:08, 2 - 0, Marleau V. (G), Kodytek P. (A), Lehtera J. (A2)
18:35, 2 - 1, Piipponen S. (G), Straka A. (A), Hult O. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
01:20, 2 - 2, Heikkinen I. (G), Hunt B. (A), Piipponen S. (A2)
04:10, Alnefelt H. (2 min),
10:36, 2 - 3, Johnsson T. (G), Timonen S. (A), Harma M. (A2)
12:43, 3 - 3, Makiaho D. (Penalty Shot),
19:58, Piipponen S. (2 min),
Overtime (1 - 0)
00:51, 4 - 3, Ervasti K. (G), Marleau V. (A), Lehtera J. (A2)
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 4.
In recent matches, HIFK has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Vaasa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Vaasa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, HIFK is the clear favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 53:37. (average 2.7:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, HIFK won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:17. (average 2.9:1.7).
Finland
Watch
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