Match Info

Liiga

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: LähiTapiola Areena (Jyväskylä)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	JYP		Vaasan Sport

	1	X	2
	1.29	6.5	7.5
	1.26	6.59	9.22	Watch
	1.3	5.37	9.01	Watch
	1.25	5.5	7.5
	1.28	6.4	7.95	Watch
	1.23	6.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.4)	6.19 ↑ (4.98)	7.95 ↑ (6.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

JYP
73.3%

Draw
15%

Vaasan Sport
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

18.7%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

20.3%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JYP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in JYP's performance.

Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JYP than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with JYP that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

JYP - Vaasan Sport Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. JYP will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Vaasa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. JYP (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
34. Setanen O. (G)	1. Harkonen M. (G)
44. Vatanen S. (A)	5. Claesson L.
31. Peltola E.	53. Aarnio A.
39. Ojantakanen V.	86. Granath P.
7. True A.	12. Straka A.
40. Torgersson D.	11. Hjalmarsson S. (A)
Line 2
63. Bourque T.	39. Hunt B.
29. Winberg T.	72. Piipponen S. (A)
77. Tukiainen L.	22. Hult O.
28. Lassila J. (C)	18. Ekman T.
71. Puustinen J. (A)	24. Levanen E.
Line 3
18. Jokinen R.	16. Johnsson T.
4. Liikonen V.	52. Hietanen V. (C)
25. Jormakka P.	33. Harma M.
17. Makinen O.	81. Timonen S.
91. Nieminen V.	4. Tiihonen M.
Line 4
2. Pulli J.	77. Valtanen J.
14. Perttu M.	8. Hult O.
89. Tyrvainen A.	91. Immonen V.
92. Vidgren A.	21. Heikkinen I.
Substitutes
35. Salminen O. (G)	32. Kahila A. (G)
Coaches
. Matikainen P.	. Tapio J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
08:01, Claesson L. (2 min),
08:58, 1 - 0, Vatanen S. (G), Tukiainen L. (A), Lassila J. (A2)
09:41, 1 - 1, Claesson L. (G), Hult O. (A), Hunt B. (A2)
15:01, True A. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
17:23, Tiihonen M. (2 min),
18:28, 2 - 1, Tukiainen L. (G), Vatanen S. (A), Nieminen V. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
11:57, Liikonen V. (2 min),
19:44, 3 - 1, Tukiainen L. (G), Lassila J. (A),

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP won 3.

JYP has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vaasa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

JYP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, JYP has had a series of away games.

In this match, JYP is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, JYP won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 58:49. (average 2.9:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, JYP won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:19. (average 3.2:1.9).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Vaasan Sport: 0.76%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	JYP	10	7	0	0	3	30:25	21
15	Vaasan Sport	11	3	1	2	5	20:31	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JYP Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
14.01.26	Ilves - JYP	3:4 penalties ✺
10.01.26	JYP - KalPa	2:5 ✺
09.01.26	KooKoo - JYP	6:1 ✺
03.01.26	HIFK - JYP	5:3 ✺
30.12.25	HPK - JYP	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLLW
- Vaasan Sport
Finnish SM-liiga
10.01.26	Vaasan Sport - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:3 ✺
09.01.26	KalPa - Vaasan Sport	4:3 ✺
07.01.26	Ilves - Vaasan Sport	3:2 OT ✺
03.01.26	Kärpät - Vaasan Sport	6:0 ✺
30.12.25	Vaasan Sport - Ässät	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
18.10.25	JYP - Vaasan Sport	5:4 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
04.09.25	JYP - Vaasan Sport	4:1
14.08.25	Vaasan Sport - JYP	8:2
Finnish SM-liiga
15.03.25	JYP - Vaasan Sport	2:4
24.01.25	Vaasan Sport - JYP	2:3 OT
20.11.24	JYP - Vaasan Sport	3:2 OT
09.10.24	Vaasan Sport - JYP	3:1

JYP - Vaasan Sport: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide