Match Info

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday


	HIFK		TPS

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.47	2.35
	2.63	4.01	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.7)	3.74 ↑ (3.47)	2.32 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

HIFK
34.9%

Draw
24.9%

TPS
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

26.6%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

30%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for TPS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

#ad

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 9th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

TPS may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, TPS has had a run of games away from home.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, HIFK has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 47:47 (averaging 2.4:2.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for HIFK against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 24:23 goals (averaging 2.4:2.3 per game).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

IFK Helsinki: 4.72% TPS Turku: 3.47%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
11	TPS Turku	10	5	0	0	5	26:21	15
15	IFK Helsinki	10	2	1	2	5	25:33	10

Last Results with these Odds

HIFK - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.16%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HIFK Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
08.10.26	Jokerit - HIFK	3:2 AET ✺
03.10.26	Vaasan Sport - HIFK	2:3 OT ✺
26.09.26	Pelicans - HIFK	2:1 ✺
25.09.26	HIFK - JYP	3:4 ✺
23.09.26	HIFK - Kärpät	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLLW
- TPS hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
03.10.26	TPS - JYP	4:1 ✺
30.09.26	Kiekko-Espoo - TPS	4:2 ✺
27.09.26	Ilves - TPS	3:2 ✺
25.09.26	Jokerit - TPS	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	HPK - TPS	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
05.09.26	TPS - HIFK	5:1
20.12.25	TPS - HIFK	4:3
19.12.25	HIFK - TPS	3:4 OT
28.11.25	HIFK - TPS	3:2
27.09.25	TPS - HIFK	1:2
21.02.25	HIFK - TPS	3:2
11.01.25	TPS - HIFK	2:3

Upcoming Matches