Match Info

Liiga

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Vaasa Arena (Vaasa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	Vaasan Sport		Mikkelin Jukurit

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.75	1.62
	3.96	4.35	1.75
	3.8	4.06	1.8	Watch
	3.6	4	1.67
	3.72	4.3	1.78	Watch
	3.75	4.4	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.13)	4.31 ↑ (3.69)	1.73 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vaasan Sport
24.3%

Draw
21.7%

Mikkelin Jukurit
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

25.6%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

25.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vaasan Sport's form might have worsened.

Mikkelin Jukurit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mikkelin Jukurit's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vaasan Sport, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mikkelin Jukurit, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Vaasan Sport - Mikkelin Jukurit Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Vaasa will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Jukurit will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jukurit (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Jukurit (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jukurit (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Harkonen M. (G)	29. Buitenhuis E. (G)
5. Claesson L.	23. Smits A.
53. Aarnio A.	3. Arola J. (A)
86. Granath P.	10. Olsen T.
12. Straka A.	20. Addamo J.
11. Hjalmarsson S. (A)	34. Immonen S.
Line 2
39. Hunt B.	58. Johansson K.
72. Piipponen S. (A)	70. Saari E.
22. Hult O.	54. Piitulainen J. (C)
91. Immonen V.	16. Ford C.
24. Levanen E.	52. Hynninen T.
Line 3
16. Johnsson T.	71. Romppanen N.
52. Hietanen V. (C)	7. Worge Kreu W.
3. Bertrand C.	82. Ruuttu A.
18. Ekman T.	40. Boudon L.
21. Heikkinen I.	76. Hamalainen S. (A)
Line 4
7. Hakkila H.	19. Tiihonen L.
33. Harma M.	63. Heikkinen L.
81. Timonen S.	18. Sandvik V.
4. Tiihonen M.	93. Horvath B.
Substitutes
32. Kahila A. (G)	1. Herpin M. (G)
Coaches
. Tapio J.	. Virtanen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
03:27, Hjalmarsson S. (2 min),
13:37, Piipponen S. (2 min),
14:19, 0 - 1, Ruuttu A. (G), Olsen T. (A), Arola J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
00:35, Granath P. (2 min),
06:36, Saari E. (2 min),
15:13, Claesson L. (2 min),
15:13, Claesson L. (2 min),
15:52, Tiihonen M. (2 min),
16:20, 0 - 2, Olsen T. (G), Piitulainen J. (A), Arola J. (A2)
18:34, Granath P. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
02:47, Heikkinen I. (2 min),
02:47, Saari E. (2 min),
11:05, Immonen S. (2 min),
11:37, 1 - 2, Levanen E. (G), Hunt B. (A), Hjalmarsson S. (A2)
17:23, 1 - 3, Ford C. (G), Hynninen T. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 3.

Vaasa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jukurit has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jukurit may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jukurit is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 56:52. (average 2.8:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Vaasa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:23. (average 3.1:2.3).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Jukurit: 2.24% Vaasan Sport: 0.76%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Jukurit	14	6	3	0	5	36:29	24
15	Vaasan Sport	11	3	1	2	5	20:31	13

Last Results with these Odds

Vaasan Sport - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 30.2%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vaasan Sport
Finnish SM-liiga
09.01.26	KalPa - Vaasan Sport	4:3 ✺
07.01.26	Ilves - Vaasan Sport	3:2 OT ✺
03.01.26	Kärpät - Vaasan Sport	6:0 ✺
30.12.25	Vaasan Sport - Ässät	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Vaasan Sport - Ilves	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLWL
- Mikkelin Jukurit
Finnish SM-liiga
05.01.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Lukko	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	HPK - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:1 ✺
30.12.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Pelicans	5:3 ✺
20.12.25	Kärpät - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:2 penalties ✺
17.12.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Vaasan Sport	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
17.12.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Vaasan Sport	4:0
23.09.25	Vaasan Sport - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:4
05.03.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Vaasan Sport	3:6
04.01.25	Vaasan Sport - Mikkelin Jukurit	6:3
29.11.24	Mikkelin Jukurit - Vaasan Sport	4:6
14.09.24	Vaasan Sport - Mikkelin Jukurit	4:1
14.02.24	Vaasan Sport - Mikkelin Jukurit	5:3

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