The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vaasan Sport 41.1%
Draw 25.8%
Mikkelin Jukurit 33.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.7%
26.3%
34%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
27.5%
35.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vaasan Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Mikkelin Jukurit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Vaasan Sport - Mikkelin Jukurit Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
53. Harkonen M. (G)
41. Myrenberg J. (G)
8. Viljanen V.
26. Sustr A.
55. Koivisto M. (C)
36. Ruusu E.
22. Walther I.
92. Olofsson J.
28. Sundstrom J. (A)
16. Ford C. (C)
17. Diaco G.
15. Hayhurst J.
Line 2
7. Ervasti K.
40. Lintuniemi A.
62. Akerstrom S.
44. Sedoff C.
86. Granath P.
10. Olsen T. (A)
89. Palve O.
20. Addamo J. (A)
71. Nieminen V.
29. Boudon L.
Line 3
16. Johnsson T.
53. Korkola N.
26. Burger E.
70. Saari E.
3. Bertrand C.
88. Jormakka P.
9. Grainger L.
25. Sjodin L.
44. Harrison B.
96. Frilander J.
Line 4
6. Kangas K.
19. Tiihonen L.
63. Heikkinen L. (A)
89. Tammela J.
12. Straka A.
57. Chrons A.
10. Pietila B.
11. Horvath B.
Substitutes
31. Ortio J. (G)
34. Ahonen V.
18. Timonen S.
1. Herpin M. (G)
Coaches
. Mikkola L.
. Virtanen J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
14:24, 0 - 1, Boudon L. (G), Saari E. (A), Korkola N. (A2)
18:22, Burger E. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
00:28, 0 - 2, Addamo J. (G), Ruusu E. (A), Sustr A. (A2)
00:50, Walther I. (2 min),
08:05, Akerstrom S. (2 min),
09:31, 0 - 3, Tammela J. (G), Ford C. (A), Olofsson J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
04:56, Nieminen V. (2 min),
07:07, Sustr A. (2 min),
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 12th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 4th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Jukurit may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Vaasa has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 52:61 (averaging 2.6:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vaasa against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 26:26 goals (averaging 2.6:2.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
5
Jukurit
19
8
4
1
6
47:39
33
15
Vaasan Sport
17
5
1
2
9
32:51
19
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Jukurit: 1.38% Vaasan Sport: 0.78%
Last Results with these Odds
Mikkelin Jukurit - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.96%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Sweden
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Harkonen M. (G) 
Myrenberg J. (G) 
Sustr A. 
Ford C. (C) 
Diaco G. 
Granath P. 
Addamo J. (A) 
Horvath B. 
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