The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
KalPa 48.8%
Draw 23.6%
Vaasan Sport 27.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.4%
24.1%
22.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.9%
25.9%
24.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Vaasan Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vaasan Sport's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
KalPa - Vaasan Sport Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. KalPa will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Korhonen R. (G)
53. Harkonen M. (G)
8. Ruotsalainen V.
8. Viljanen V.
18. Gallet H.
55. Koivisto M. (C)
54. Piitulainen J.
9. Grainger L.
28. Rissanen J. (C)
89. Palve O.
70. Hartikainen T. (A)
44. Harrison B.
Line 2
89. Ketola J.
7. Ervasti K.
97. Kanak L.
62. Akerstrom S.
20. Klemetti A.
86. Granath P.
91. Vilen E.
28. Sundstrom J. (A)
42. Kapanen K.
71. Nieminen V.
Line 3
55. Lappalainen L. (A)
16. Johnsson T.
4. Jokinen M.
26. Burger E.
22. Borchardt C.
22. Walther I.
12. Saarelainen J.
12. Straka A.
47. Tammela J.
17. Diaco G.
Line 4
3. Karlsson A.
6. Kangas K.
86. Kombe K.
63. Heikkinen L. (A)
21. Miilunpohja R.
18. Timonen S.
41. Kononen J.
10. Pietila B.
Substitutes
94. Korkiakoski T.
3. Bertrand C.
40. Lekkas S. (G)
31. Ortio J. (G)
Coaches
. Tervonen S.
. Mikkola L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
06:08, Diaco G. (2 min),
09:49, 0 - 1, Nieminen V. (G), Granath P. (A), Sundstrom J. (A2)
13:17, Rissanen J. (2 min),
18:54, Heikkinen L. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
09:06, 1 - 1, Vilen E. (G), Klemetti A. (A), Karlsson A. (A2)
10:45, Saarelainen J. (2 min),
11:46, Ervasti K. (5 min),
12:25, 1 - 2, Burger E. (G), Akerstrom S. (A), Granath P. (A2)
13:30, 2 - 2, Kapanen K. (G), Rissanen J. (A), Lappalainen L. (A2)
13:48, Kangas K. (2 min),
19:25, Palve O. (2 min),
19:56, Rissanen J. (2 min),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
08:32, 3 - 2, Saarelainen J. (G), Kapanen K. (A), Borchardt C. (A2)
18:37, 4 - 2, Borchardt C. (G), Tammela J. (A),
18:56, 5 - 2, Piitulainen J. (G), Kononen J. (A), Rissanen J. (A2)
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 14th and 15th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 5.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
KalPa could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Vaasa has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with KalPa holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, KalPa has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 69:48 (averaging 3.5:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for KalPa against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 38:22 goals (averaging 3.8:2.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
11
KalPa
17
8
0
1
8
46:40
25
15
Vaasan Sport
17
5
1
2
9
32:51
19
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Vaasan Sport: 0.8%
Last Results with these Odds
KalPa - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.4%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Sweden
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Korhonen R. (G) 
Gallet H. 
Grainger L. 
Kanak L. 
Akerstrom S. 
Granath P. 
Borchardt C. 
Kombe K. 
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