Match Info

Liiga

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Helsinki Ice Hall (Helsinki) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	18:30	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	17:30	TV4 Play


	HIFK		Ilves

	1	X	2
	2.55	4.00	2.25
	2.60	3.90	2.30
	2.60	3.70	2.45	Watch
	2.59	3.63	2.44
	2.5	3.66	2.56
	2.55	3.55	2.40
	2.54	3.92	2.39	Watch
	2.50	3.80	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.68)	3.77 ↑ (3.74)	2.4 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HIFK
36.5%

Draw
24.7%

Ilves
38.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.5%

24.7%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

26.3%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

HIFK - Ilves Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
60. Alnefelt H. (G)	40. Armalis M. (G)
27. Ahlroth J.	27. Strand A.
25. Nassen L.	57. Parikka J.
88. Huuhtanen N. (A)	29. Looke J.
81. Pakarinen I. (C)	92. Henman L. (A)
71. Makiaho D.	67. Haatanen A.
Line 2
28. Pilo L.	43. Latvala O.
33. Kiviharju A.	6. Sund T.
93. Vanhatalo L.	15. Kos O.
43. Marleau V.	44. Jarvinen J. (C)
91. Ranta S.	71. Korhonen B.
Line 3
67. Puutio K.	3. Utunen T.
11. Melart I.	28. Nyberg J.
54. Somervuori J.	46. Torok M.
77. Leschyshyn J.	11. Borg E. (A)
72. Liukas E. (A)	22. Engberg T.
Line 4
83. Nemecek D.	26. Niskanen A.
19. Leppanen O.	86. Heikkinen I.
18. Uronen A.	19. Lantta J.
42. Sinivuori L.	25. Hynninen T.
Substitutes
12. Joki A.	65. Rifalk C. (G)
53. Varonen V. (G)	38. Teuho-Markkola T.
Coaches
. Miettinen T.	. Niemela T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
00:54, Makiaho D. (2 min),
06:48, Pilo L. (2 min),
12:01, Utunen T. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
00:37, 0 - 1, Henman L. (G), Looke J. (A), Haatanen A. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
01:47, 1 - 1, Somervuori J. (G),
02:45, Henman L. (2 min),
07:57, 2 - 1, Vanhatalo L. (G), Ranta S. (A), Sinivuori L. (A2)
14:58, Ranta S. (2 min),
18:31, Nemecek D. (2 min),

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 13th and 3rd in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Recently, HIFK has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, HIFK has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 37:52 (averaging 1.9:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for HIFK against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 27:22 goals (averaging 2.7:2.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Ilves	19	9	3	1	6	51:39	34
13	IFK Helsinki	18	6	1	4	7	50:55	24

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

IFK Helsinki: 5.59%

Last Results with these Odds

HIFK - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.54%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Ilves - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.75%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HIFK Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
24.10.26	HPK - HIFK	3:6 ✺
23.10.26	Kiekko-Espoo - HIFK	0:3 ✺
20.10.26	Lukko - HIFK	3:2 penalties ✺
17.10.26	SaiPa - HIFK	7:1 ✺
14.10.26	HIFK - TPS	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLLL
- Ilves hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
24.10.26	Ilves - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:2 penalties ✺
23.10.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Ilves	0:3 ✺
20.10.26	TPS - Ilves	4:3 ✺
17.10.26	Ilves - Jokerit	4:3 penalties ✺
16.10.26	HPK - Ilves	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
08.08.26	Ilves - HIFK	1:0 penalties
Finnish SM-liiga
10.01.26	Ilves - HIFK	6:0
09.01.26	HIFK - Ilves	1:0
11.10.25	HIFK - Ilves	6:1
10.10.25	Ilves - HIFK	3:0
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
09.08.25	HIFK - Ilves	3:2
Finnish SM-liiga
18.01.25	HIFK - Ilves	1:3

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