The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HIFK 38.3%
Draw 24.3%
KalPa 37.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.2%
23%
40.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.3%
24.3%
37.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
The ML Model estimate for HIFK aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
HIFK - KalPa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
60. Alnefelt H. (G)
40. Lekkas S. (G)
28. Pilo L.
57. Lyytinen J.
25. Nassen L.
18. Gallet H.
88. Huuhtanen N. (A)
20. Klemetti A.
81. Pakarinen I. (C)
91. Vilen E.
71. Makiaho D.
9. Maenpaa J.
Line 2
27. Ahlroth J.
55. Lappalainen L. (C)
83. Nemecek D.
8. Ruotsalainen V.
43. Marleau V.
22. Borchardt C.
77. Leschyshyn J.
12. Saarelainen J.
72. Liukas E. (A)
42. Kapanen K.
Line 3
33. Kiviharju A.
89. Ketola J.
11. Melart I.
4. Jokinen M.
19. Leppanen O.
54. Piitulainen J. (A)
18. Uronen A.
85. Somppi O.
93. Vanhatalo L.
70. Hartikainen T. (A)
Line 4
67. Puutio K.
3. Karlsson A.
82. Karjalainen A.
97. Kanak L.
42. Sinivuori L.
86. Kombe K.
54. Somervuori J.
21. Miilunpohja R.
41. Kononen J.
Substitutes
38. Karjalahti F.
35. Korhonen R. (G)
53. Varonen V. (G)
Coaches
. Jokinen O.
. Tervonen S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
03:34, Pakarinen I. (2 min),
13:15, 1 - 0, Huuhtanen N. (G), Pakarinen I. (A), Makiaho D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
00:41, Vilen E. (2 min),
01:00, Liukas E. (2 min),
02:44, 1 - 1, Klemetti A. (G), Maenpaa J. (A), Gallet H. (A2)
16:13, 2 - 1, Melart I. (G), Pakarinen I. (A), Makiaho D. (A2)
19:00, Kanak L. (2 min),
3rd Period (4 - 0)
00:56, 3 - 1, Liukas E. (G), Nassen L. (A), Pilo L. (A2)
01:32, 4 - 1, Vanhatalo L. (G), Leschyshyn J. (A), Marleau V. (A2)
03:02, Ruotsalainen V. (2 min),
04:17, 5 - 1, Liukas E. (G), Somervuori J. (A), Marleau V. (A2)
04:17, (2 min),
13:24, 6 - 1, Pakarinen I. (G), Huuhtanen N. (A), Makiaho D. (A2)
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
HIFK could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, HIFK has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:55 (averaging 2.8:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for HIFK against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 28:23 goals (averaging 2.8:2.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
11
KalPa
17
8
0
1
8
46:40
25
13
IFK Helsinki
18
6
1
4
7
50:55
24
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
IFK Helsinki: 5.59%
Last Results with these Odds
HIFK - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.22%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
KalPa - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.81%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Sweden
Watch
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Alnefelt H. (G) 
Lekkas S. (G) 
Lyytinen J. 
Gallet H. 
Nemecek D. 
Marleau V. 
Kombe K. 
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