Match Info
LiigaDate: 17 January 2026, SaturdayLocation: Vaasa Arena (Vaasa)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
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Vaasan Sport |
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Lukko |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
- The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Vaasan Sport 16.9% | Draw 18.4% | Lukko 64.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Lukko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (-3.6%)Vaasan Sport - Lukko Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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31. Ortio J. (G)
| 32. Raanta A. (G)
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5. Claesson L.
| 9. Stenqvist J.
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53. Aarnio A.
| 38. Almari N.
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86. Granath P.
| 6. Tuuva L.
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12. Straka A.
| 93. Ruohomaa M. (A)
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11. Hjalmarsson S. (A)
| 24. Krannila J.
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| Line 2 |
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39. Hunt B.
| 86. Gelinas E. (C)
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72. Piipponen S. (A)
| 5. Peters A.
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22. Hult O.
| 90. Hamalainen L.
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18. Ekman T.
| 88. Morand A.
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24. Levanen E.
| 18. Jandric S.
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| Line 3 |
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16. Johnsson T.
| 34. Viitasalo N.
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52. Hietanen V. (C)
| 56. Olsson A.
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33. Harma M.
| 27. Westerholm Po.
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81. Timonen S.
| 17. Westerholm Pa.
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4. Tiihonen M.
| 25. Saarela A.
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| Line 4 |
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8. Hult O.
| 43. Valila A.
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91. Immonen V.
| 47. Haapanen T.
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21. Heikkinen I.
| 14. Intonen A.
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| 48. Ikonen H. (A)
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| Substitutes |
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1. Harkonen M. (G)
| 30. Salonen D. (G)
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| Coaches |
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. Tapio J.
| . Lamsa T.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 06:55, 1 - 0, Straka A. (G), Hjalmarsson S. (A), Granath P. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 03:24, Piipponen S. (2 min),
- 11:59, Aarnio A. (2 min),
- 15:59, 2 - 0, Hunt B. (G), Ekman T. (A), Piipponen S. (A2)
- 3rd Period (4 - 1)
- 01:57, 3 - 0, Straka A. (G), Aarnio A. (A), Granath P. (A2)
- 07:40, 4 - 0, Granath P. (G), Claesson L. (A), Hjalmarsson S. (A2)
- 08:31, 5 - 0, Hult O. (G), Hunt B. (A), Ekman T. (A2)
- 16:12, 5 - 1, Viitasalo N. (G), Saarela A. (A), Westerholm Pa. (A2)
- 18:52, 6 - 1, Hjalmarsson S. (G), Granath P. (A),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 1.Vaasa has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).Lukko has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Recently, Vaasa has had a series of away games. In this match, Lukko is seen as the favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vaasa won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 44:50. (average 2.2:2.5).Including home matches between the teams, Vaasa won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 2.2:1.4).
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Vaasan Sport: 0.76%
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 6 | Lukko | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 29:23 | 20 |
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| 15 | Vaasan Sport | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 20:31 | 13 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish SM-liiga | | | 26.12.25 | Lukko - Vaasan Sport | 2:1 OT | | 01.11.25 | Vaasan Sport - Lukko | 2:1 | | 31.10.25 | Lukko - Vaasan Sport | 3:2 OT | | 02.04.25 | Vaasan Sport - Lukko | 1:3 | | 31.03.25 | Lukko - Vaasan Sport | 5:1 | | 27.03.25 | Vaasan Sport - Lukko | 1:4 | | 26.03.25 | Lukko - Vaasan Sport | 6:2 |
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