Match Info

USA: NCAA - BOWL

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Air Force Falcons		James Madison Dukes

	1	2
	1.77	2.1
	1.75	2.1
	1.77	2.1	Watch
	1.85	2.12
	1.79	2.12
	1.7	2.05
	1.8	2.02
	1.72	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.15)	2.07 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 41.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Network on TV: ABC

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Current Win Probability

Air Force Falcons
54%

James Madison Dukes
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Air Force Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Air Force Falcons's performance.

James Madison Dukes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and James Madison Dukes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Air Force Falcons than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Air Force Falcons that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Madison Dukes than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that James Madison Dukes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Air Force Falcons - James Madison Dukes Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Air Force will win (votes: 1 - 25%). James Madison will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:22

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Preview

Air Force is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

James Madison is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's James Madison to win the game is with odds 1.83.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Air Force Falcons football
NCAA College Football
24.11.23	Boise State Broncos - Air Force Falcons	27:19 ✺
18.11.23	Air Force Falcons - UNLV Rebels	27:31 ✺
11.11.23	Hawaii Warriors - Air Force Falcons	27:13 ✺
04.11.23	Air Force Falcons - Army Black Knights	3:23 ✺
28.10.23	Colorado State Rams - Air Force Falcons	13:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- James Madison Dukes football
NCAA College Football
25.11.23	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers - James Madison Dukes	14:56 ✺
18.11.23	James Madison Dukes - Appalachian State Mountaineers	23:26 OT ✺
11.11.23	James Madison Dukes - Connecticut Huskies	44:6 ✺
04.11.23	Georgia State Panthers - James Madison Dukes	14:42 ✺
28.10.23	James Madison Dukes - Old Dominion Monarchs	30:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWW

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