Match Info

NCAA - Bowl

Date: 18 December 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	DAZN
Finland	DAZN


	Arkansas State Red Wolves		Missouri State Bears

	1	2
	1.8	2.05
	1.79	1.98
	1.82	2.08
	1.77	2.05	Watch
	1.91	1.85
	1.87	1.95
	1.83	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.89)	1.99 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arkansas State Red Wolves
52.2%

Missouri State Bears
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arkansas State Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Missouri State Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arkansas State Red Wolves than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arkansas State Red Wolves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Missouri State Bears than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Missouri State Bears could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Arkansas State Red Wolves - Missouri State Bears Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Arkansas State will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Missouri State will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Missouri State (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:27

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (14 - 7)
04:01, Bonelli J. (Touchdown),
04:01, van Andel C. (Extra Point),
12:09, Rucker C. (Touchdown),
12:09, van Andel C. (Extra Point),
14:43, Luke D. (Touchdown),
14:43, Obeid Y. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (10 - 0)
02:20, van Andel C. (Field Goal),
08:46, Cobb C. (Touchdown),
08:46, van Andel C. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (7 - 0)
04:38, Spencer D. (Touchdown),
04:38, van Andel C. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (3 - 21)
00:08, Green R. (Touchdown),
00:08, Askren J. (Two-Point Conversion),
02:16, van Andel C. (Field Goal),
09:34, Luke D. (Touchdown),
13:06, Robinson J. (Touchdown),
13:06, Obeid Y. (Extra Point),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arkansas State won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 70:7.

Including home match between the teams, Arkansas State won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 70:7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arkansas State Red Wolves football
NCAA College Football
29.11.25	Appalachian State Mountaineers - Arkansas State Red Wolves	29:30 ✺
20.11.25	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns	30:34 ✺
08.11.25	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Southern Miss Golden Eagles	21:27 ✺
01.11.25	Troy Trojans - Arkansas State Red Wolves	10:23 ✺
25.10.25	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Georgia Southern Eagles	34:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLWW
- Missouri State Bears football
NCAA College Football
29.11.25	Missouri State Bears - Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	30:42 ✺
22.11.25	Kennesaw State Owls - Missouri State Bears	41:34 ✺
15.11.25	Missouri State Bears - UTEP Miners	38:24 ✺
08.11.25	Liberty Flames - Missouri State Bears	17:21 ✺
29.10.25	Missouri State Bears - Florida International Golden Panthers	28:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
19.09.15	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Missouri State Bears	70:7

Arkansas State Red Wolves - Missouri State Bears: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide