The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arkansas State Red Wolves 58.5%
South Alabama Jaguars 41.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
50%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.9%
50.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arkansas State Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arkansas State Red Wolves's performance.
South Alabama Jaguars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Alabama Jaguars might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arkansas State Red Wolves than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arkansas State Red Wolves that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Alabama Jaguars than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South Alabama Jaguars could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arkansas State Red Wolves - South Alabama Jaguars Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +2.5, OT - South Alabama (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. South Alabama (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:29
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (7 - 14)
07:39, Martin P. (Touchdown),
07:39, Little D. (Extra Point),
13:16, Carter T. (Touchdown),
13:16, van Andel C. (Extra Point),
13:29, Phillips K. (Touchdown),
13:29, Little D. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (21 - 20)
02:04, Summers H. (Touchdown),
02:04, van Andel C. (Extra Point),
08:44, Carter T. (Touchdown),
08:44, van Andel C. (Extra Point),
10:23, Phillips K. (Touchdown),
10:23, Little D. (Extra Point),
13:09, Hollins J. (Touchdown),
13:09, Little D. (Extra Point),
13:31, Hollins J. (Touchdown),
14:28, Summers H. (Touchdown),
14:28, van Andel C. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (7 - 15)
01:24, Phillips K. (Touchdown),
01:24, Hollins J. (Two-Point Conversion),
10:24, Gibbs R. (Touchdown),
10:24, Little D. (Extra Point),
13:50, Baggett S. (Touchdown),
13:50, van Andel C. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (14 - 7)
00:01, Phillips K. (Touchdown),
00:01, Little D. (Extra Point),
02:42, Bush J. (Touchdown),
02:42, van Andel C. (Extra Point),
08:09, Owens T. (Touchdown),
08:09, van Andel C. (Extra Point),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arkansas State won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Arkansas State has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 309:287 (averaging 23.8:22.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Arkansas State against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 152:116 goals (averaging 25.3:19.3 per game).
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