Match Info

NCAA

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Memphis Tigers		Arkansas State Red Wolves

	1	2
	1.19	4.5
	1.21	4.17
	1.24	4.4
	1.22	3.94	Watch
	1.22	4.5
	1.2	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.27)	4.32 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Memphis Tigers
78.1%

Arkansas State Red Wolves
21.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

72.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Memphis Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Memphis Tigers's performance.

Arkansas State Red Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arkansas State Red Wolves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Memphis Tigers - Arkansas State Red Wolves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:21

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 3)
13:29, van Andel C. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (21 - 14)
03:01, Carter J. (Touchdown),
03:01, Laforge P. (Extra Point),
07:18, Clay K. (Touchdown),
07:18, van Andel C. (Extra Point),
11:23, O'Callaghan A. (Touchdown),
11:23, Laforge P. (Extra Point),
11:34, Clay K. (Touchdown),
11:34, van Andel C. (Extra Point),
14:20, Hayes J. (Touchdown),
14:20, Laforge P. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (14 - 7)
02:41, Carter J. (Touchdown),
02:41, Laforge P. (Extra Point),
10:48, Carter T. (Touchdown),
10:48, van Andel C. (Extra Point),
11:35, Carter J. (Touchdown),
11:35, Laforge P. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (7 - 0)
11:29, Carter J. (Touchdown),
11:29, Laforge P. (Extra Point),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Memphis won 5.

Arkansas State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Memphis is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Memphis won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 232:149. (average 38.7:24.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Memphis won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 112:63. (average 37.3:21).

Outrights of NCAA College Football for now

Memphis: 0.07%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Memphis Tigers football
NCAA College Football
29.08.26	UNLV Rebels - Memphis Tigers	21:27 ✺
19.12.25	North Carolina State Wolfpack - Memphis Tigers	31:7 ✺
27.11.25	Memphis Tigers - Navy Midshipmen	17:28 ✺
15.11.25	East Carolina Pirates - Memphis Tigers	31:27 ✺
07.11.25	Memphis Tigers - Tulane Green Wave	32:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLL
- Arkansas State Red Wolves football
NCAA College Football
18.12.25	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Missouri State Bears	34:28 ✺
29.11.25	Appalachian State Mountaineers - Arkansas State Red Wolves	29:30 ✺
20.11.25	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns	30:34 ✺
08.11.25	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Southern Miss Golden Eagles	21:27 ✺
01.11.25	Troy Trojans - Arkansas State Red Wolves	10:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
09.09.23	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Memphis Tigers	3:37
17.09.22	Memphis Tigers - Arkansas State Red Wolves	44:32
11.09.21	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Memphis Tigers	50:55
05.09.20	Memphis Tigers - Arkansas State Red Wolves	37:24
21.09.13	Memphis Tigers - Arkansas State Red Wolves	31:7
08.09.12	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Memphis Tigers	33:28

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