Match Info

NCAA

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Boise State Broncos		New Mexico Lobos

	1	2
	1.15	5.75
	1.13	5.71
	1.13	6.23
	1.11	5.60	Watch
	1.14	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↑ (1.12)	5.86 ↑ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-16)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boise State Broncos
83.8%

New Mexico Lobos
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.9%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boise State Broncos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

New Mexico Lobos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Boise State Broncos - New Mexico Lobos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 37:21

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (10 - 0)
03:41, Boomer C. (Field Goal),
15:00, Gaines S. (Touchdown),
15:00, Boomer C. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (7 - 14)
00:13, Bankston D. (Touchdown),
00:13, Drzewiecki L. (Extra Point),
04:30, Thomas D. (Touchdown),
04:30, Drzewiecki L. (Extra Point),
11:40, Ford B. (Touchdown),
11:40, Boomer C. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (3 - 3)
05:40, Boomer C. (Field Goal),
10:40, Drzewiecki L. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (21 - 8)
00:38, Gaines S. (Touchdown),
00:38, Boomer C. (Extra Point),
07:29, Grizzle T. (Touchdown),
07:29, Boomer C. (Extra Point),
09:46, Ford B. (Touchdown),
09:46, Boomer C. (Extra Point),
13:44, Laubstein J. (Touchdown),
13:44, Johnson K. (Two-Point Conversion),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boise State won 5.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Boise State is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Boise State won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 435:212. (average 36.3:17.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Boise State won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 218:85. (average 31.1:12.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boise State Broncos football
NCAA College Football
04.10.25	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Boise State Broncos	28:7 ✺
27.09.25	Boise State Broncos - Appalachian State Mountaineers	47:14 ✺
20.09.25	Air Force Falcons - Boise State Broncos	37:49 ✺
05.09.25	Boise State Broncos - Eastern Washington Eagles	51:14 ✺
28.08.25	South Florida Bulls - Boise State Broncos	34:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWWL
- New Mexico Lobos football
NCAA College Football
03.10.25	San Jose State Spartans - New Mexico Lobos	35:28 ✺
27.09.25	New Mexico Lobos - New Mexico State Aggies	38:20 ✺
12.09.25	UCLA Bruins - New Mexico Lobos	10:35 ✺
06.09.25	New Mexico Lobos - Idaho State Bengals	32:22 ✺
30.08.25	Michigan Wolverines - New Mexico Lobos	34:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
11.11.23	Boise State Broncos - New Mexico Lobos	42:14
09.09.22	New Mexico Lobos - Boise State Broncos	14:31
20.11.21	Boise State Broncos - New Mexico Lobos	37:0
16.11.19	Boise State Broncos - New Mexico Lobos	42:9
16.11.18	New Mexico Lobos - Boise State Broncos	14:45
14.09.17	Boise State Broncos - New Mexico Lobos	28:14
07.10.16	New Mexico Lobos - Boise State Broncos	21:49

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