Match Info

NCAA

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Air Force Falcons		Boise State Broncos

	1	2
	4.1	1.26
	4.2	1.25
	5.19	1.13	Watch
	3.88	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↑ (3.8)	1.23 ↓ (1.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Air Force Falcons
22%

Boise State Broncos
78%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

74.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Air Force Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Boise State Broncos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Air Force Falcons - Boise State Broncos Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5, OT - Boise State (1.40) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Boise State (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:32

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 14)
03:06, Carson D. (Touchdown),
03:06, Medina J. (Extra Point),
07:51, Riley D. (Touchdown),
07:51, Boomer C. (Extra Point),
12:22, Riley D. (Touchdown),
12:22, Boomer C. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (7 - 7)
04:35, Lauter M. (Touchdown),
04:35, Boomer C. (Extra Point),
10:08, Hodges K. (Touchdown),
10:08, Medina J. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (10 - 14)
01:08, Szarka L. (Touchdown),
01:08, Medina J. (Extra Point),
03:09, Sherrod M. (Touchdown),
03:09, Boomer C. (Extra Point),
13:50, Medina J. (Field Goal),
14:02, Riley D. (Touchdown),
14:02, Boomer C. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (13 - 14)
05:16, Smith Q. (Touchdown),
09:42, Riley D. (Touchdown),
09:42, Boomer C. (Extra Point),
12:34, Fleischmann B. (Touchdown),
12:34, Medina J. (Extra Point),
12:52, Riley D. (Touchdown),
12:52, Boomer C. (Extra Point),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Air Force won 1.

Air Force may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Boise State is considered a favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Air Force won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 275:340. (average 22.9:28.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Air Force won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 137:150. (average 22.8:25).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Air Force Falcons football
NCAA College Football
13.09.25	Utah State Aggies - Air Force Falcons	49:30 ✺
30.08.25	Air Force Falcons - Bucknell Bison	49:13 ✺
30.11.24	San Diego State Aztecs - Air Force Falcons	20:31 ✺
23.11.24	Nevada Wolf Pack - Air Force Falcons	19:22 ✺
16.11.24	Air Force Falcons - Oregon State Beavers	28:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWW
- Boise State Broncos football
NCAA College Football
05.09.25	Boise State Broncos - Eastern Washington Eagles	51:14 ✺
28.08.25	South Florida Bulls - Boise State Broncos	34:7 ✺
31.12.24	Boise State Broncos - Penn State Nittany Lions	14:31 ✺
06.12.24	Boise State Broncos - UNLV Rebels	21:7 ✺
29.11.24	Boise State Broncos - Oregon State Beavers	34:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
24.11.23	Boise State Broncos - Air Force Falcons	27:19
22.10.22	Air Force Falcons - Boise State Broncos	14:19
16.10.21	Boise State Broncos - Air Force Falcons	17:24
31.10.20	Air Force Falcons - Boise State Broncos	30:49
20.09.19	Boise State Broncos - Air Force Falcons	30:19
27.10.18	Air Force Falcons - Boise State Broncos	38:48
18.11.17	Boise State Broncos - Air Force Falcons	44:19

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