Match Info

NFL - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Paycor Stadium (Cincinnati, OH)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN
World	NFL Game Pass


	Cincinnati Bengals		New England Patriots

	1	2
	3.8	1.28	Watch
	3.8	1.25	Watch
	4.41	1.23
	3.50	1.29	Watch
	3.72	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (3.16)	1.27 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cincinnati Bengals
24.8%

New England Patriots
75.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati Bengals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cincinnati Bengals's form might have worsened.

New England Patriots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New England Patriots's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati Bengals than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cincinnati Bengals, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Patriots than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New England Patriots, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Cincinnati Bengals - New England Patriots Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +7.5, OT - Cincinnati (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 50.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: New England Patriots will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): New England Patriots will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 16.7%). New England (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:29

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (3 - 0)
08:24, McPherson E. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (10 - 17)
00:41, Stone G. (Touchdown),
00:41, McPherson E. (Extra Point),
05:24, Henry H. (Touchdown),
05:24, Borregales A. (Extra Point),
07:18, Jones M. (Touchdown),
07:18, Borregales A. (Extra Point),
14:32, Borregales A. (Field Goal),
15:00, McPherson E. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 3)
13:56, Borregales A. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (7 - 6)
09:05, Borregales A. (Field Goal),
10:20, Tinsley M. (Touchdown),
10:20, McPherson E. (Extra Point),
13:09, Borregales A. (Field Goal),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1.

Cincinnati is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

New England is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Cincinnati may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, New England is the team to beat.

There are questionable in New England: Mapu M. (Neck Injury) Moses M. (Foot Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 92:152. (average 15.3:25.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:56. (average 12:18.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cincinnati Bengals
NFL
16.11.25	Pittsburgh Steelers - Cincinnati Bengals	34:12 ✺
02.11.25	Cincinnati Bengals - Chicago Bears	42:47 ✺
26.10.25	Cincinnati Bengals - New York Jets	38:39 ✺
16.10.25	Cincinnati Bengals - Pittsburgh Steelers	33:31 ✺
12.10.25	Green Bay Packers - Cincinnati Bengals	27:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLWL
- New England Patriots
NFL
13.11.25	New England Patriots - New York Jets	27:14 ✺
09.11.25	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - New England Patriots	23:28 ✺
02.11.25	New England Patriots - Atlanta Falcons	24:23 ✺
26.10.25	New England Patriots - Cleveland Browns	32:13 ✺
19.10.25	Tennessee Titans - New England Patriots	13:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
08.09.24	Cincinnati Bengals - New England Patriots	10:16
24.12.22	New England Patriots - Cincinnati Bengals	18:22
15.12.19	Cincinnati Bengals - New England Patriots	13:34
16.10.16	New England Patriots - Cincinnati Bengals	35:17
05.10.14	New England Patriots - Cincinnati Bengals	43:17
06.10.13	Cincinnati Bengals - New England Patriots	13:6

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