Match Info

NFL - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Highmark Stadium (Orchard Park, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	Ruutu+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hungary	Arena 4
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport Fight
Portugal	DAZN 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN, Sky Sports Main Event
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NFL Game Pass


	Buffalo Bills		Kansas City Chiefs

	1	2
	2.15	1.74	Watch
	2.08	1.71	Watch
	1.50	2.51	Watch
	2.1	1.77
	2.1	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.03)	1.9 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Buffalo Bills
48.8%

Kansas City Chiefs
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buffalo Bills has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Kansas City Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buffalo Bills than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kansas City Chiefs than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Buffalo Bills - Kansas City Chiefs Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Buffalo will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Kansas City will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buffalo: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5, OT - Kansas City (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 53.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kansas City Chiefs will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Buffalo (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Kansas City (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:28

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 0)
07:00, Kincaid D. (Touchdown),
07:00, Prater M. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (14 - 13)
00:04, Rice R. (Touchdown),
00:04, Butker H. (Extra Point),
05:29, Butker H. (Field Goal),
08:21, Johnson T. (Touchdown),
08:21, Prater M. (Extra Point),
13:27, Allen J. (Touchdown),
13:27, Prater M. (Extra Point),
14:55, Butker H. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (7 - 0)
13:26, Allen J. (Touchdown),
13:26, Prater M. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (0 - 8)
03:28, Hunt K. (Touchdown),
03:28, Kelce T. (Two-Point Conversion),
15', Prater M. (Missed Field Goal),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 3.

In recent matches, Buffalo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kansas City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Buffalo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kansas City has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There are questionable in Buffalo: White T. (Groin Injury)

We predict that Kansas City will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 341:340. (average 24.4:24.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Buffalo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 132:131. (average 22:21.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buffalo Bills
NFL
26.10.25	Carolina Panthers - Buffalo Bills	9:40 ✺
13.10.25	Atlanta Falcons - Buffalo Bills	24:14 ✺
05.10.25	Buffalo Bills - New England Patriots	20:23 ✺
28.09.25	Buffalo Bills - New Orleans Saints	31:19 ✺
18.09.25	Buffalo Bills - Miami Dolphins	31:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWW
- Kansas City Chiefs
NFL
27.10.25	Kansas City Chiefs - Washington Commanders	28:7 ✺
19.10.25	Kansas City Chiefs - Las Vegas Raiders	31:0 ✺
12.10.25	Kansas City Chiefs - Detroit Lions	30:17 ✺
06.10.25	Jacksonville Jaguars - Kansas City Chiefs	31:28 ✺
28.09.25	Kansas City Chiefs - Baltimore Ravens	37:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
26.01.25	Kansas City Chiefs - Buffalo Bills	32:29
17.11.24	Buffalo Bills - Kansas City Chiefs	30:21
21.01.24	Buffalo Bills - Kansas City Chiefs	24:27
10.12.23	Kansas City Chiefs - Buffalo Bills	17:20
16.10.22	Kansas City Chiefs - Buffalo Bills	20:24
23.01.22	Kansas City Chiefs - Buffalo Bills	42:36 OT
10.10.21	Kansas City Chiefs - Buffalo Bills	20:38

Upcoming Matches