Match Info
NFL - Round 11Date: 16 November 2025, SundayLocation: Highmark Stadium (Orchard Park, NY)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6 |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch, RTL |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
Hungary | Arena 4 |
Poland | Polsat Sport Fight, Polsat Sport Premium 2 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
United-kingdom | DAZN, DAZN UK, Sky Sports Main Event |
World | NFL Game Pass |
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Buffalo Bills |
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 45.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
- The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Buffalo Bills 72.1% | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Buffalo Bills has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Tampa Bay Buccaneers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Bills than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Buccaneers than the current prediction. (+3.1%)Buffalo Bills - Tampa Bay Buccaneers Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 9.5, 1Q - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 46, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Buffalo Bills will win
(15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Buffalo Bills will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:20 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (7 - 3)
- 06:04, McLaughlin C. (Field Goal),
- 10:51, Allen J. (Touchdown),
- 10:51, Prater M. (Extra Point),
- 2nd Quarter (14 - 17)
- 03:00, Mayfield B. (Touchdown),
- 03:00, McLaughlin C. (Extra Point),
- 06:08, Shavers T. (Touchdown),
- 06:08, Prater M. (Extra Point),
- 09:23, Tucker S. (Touchdown),
- 09:23, McLaughlin C. (Extra Point),
- 14:24, Johnson T. (Touchdown),
- 14:24, Prater M. (Extra Point),
- 14:59, McLaughlin C. (Field Goal),
- 3rd Quarter (10 - 6)
- 07:34, Tucker S. (Touchdown),
- 07:34, (2-Point Conversion Failed),
- 09:55, Prater M. (Field Goal),
- 11:12, Cook J. (Touchdown),
- 11:12, Prater M. (Extra Point),
- 4th Quarter (13 - 6)
- 01:22, Tucker S. (Touchdown),
- 01:22, (2-Point Conversion Failed),
- 05:54, Allen J. (Touchdown),
- 05:54, (2-Point Conversion Failed),
- 12:25, Allen J. (Touchdown),
- 12:25, Prater M. (Extra Point),
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 5).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 3.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Tampa Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Buffalo is considered a favorite.There are questionable in Buffalo: White T.
(Groin Injury)In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 124:151. (average 20.7:25.2).Including home matches between the teams, Buffalo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 68:72. (average 22.7:24).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NFL | | | 23.08.25 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Buffalo Bills | 19:23 | | 26.10.23 | Buffalo Bills - Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 24:18 | | 12.12.21 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Buffalo Bills | 33:27 OT | | 22.10.17 | Buffalo Bills - Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 30:27 | | 23.08.14 | Buffalo Bills - Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 14:27 | | 08.12.13 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Buffalo Bills | 27:6 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;